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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
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  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

August 22, 2022/report

August 22, 2022

This week will be characterized by minor differences in temperatures, but that’s about all. Even though temperatures will remain in triple digits today, it may turn out to be the coolest day of the week. there is a weak low center moving through the Pacific Northwest which will temporarily weaken the high, allowing temperatures to fall into the lower 100s, possibly even upper 90s in Merced County. That county will receive a small burst of marine air through Pacheco Pass and through the Delta. Temperatures will once again begin to soar Tuesday as the high firms up and centers just off shore. By Wednesday through Thursday, the high will be directly overhead. This will allow temperatures to climb into the 102 to 107 degree range. Marginal cooling will begin Friday as the high begins to shift eastward. With a bit of luck, readings may fall into the mid to upper 90s by Monday as a weak trough of low pressure moves through the Pacific Northwest. By the middle of next week, the high will have set up shop over the Four Corners region, possibly turning the winds out of the southeast for another possible round of monsoonal moisture.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday and continued hot. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 100/63/102/65/104 Reedley 102/64/104/64/105 Dinuba 102/63/103/66/104
Porterville 103/64/104/66/105 Lindsay 102/63/104/65/106 Delano 103/67/105/68/106
Bakersfield 102/75/103/76/104 Taft 101/76/103/78/103 Arvin 103/71/104/73/106
Lamont 103/71/104/73/106 Pixley 101/65/102/66/104 Tulare 100/63/102/67/104
Woodlake 101/62/103/65/104 Hanford 102/67/103/67/105 Orosi 100/63/103/65/104

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

66/104

Friday

Mostly clear

65/102

Saturday

Mostly clear

64/101

Sunday

Mostly clear

62/100

Monday

Mostly clear

61/98

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 269through September 4:  This model shows the monsoon moving slightly to our east, reducing the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. The trend of above average temperatures this August will continue.

 

August:  This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.

 

August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Thursday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.

 

Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.

 

Frost:  All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 68%/18%  Porterville, 76%/19%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 90%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.07, Parlier 1.82, Arvin 2.19, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.82, Delano 1.87. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 80, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 81, Porterville 91, Delano 82. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 96/64. Record Temperatures: 108/50

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1588 +269. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.34 or -4.60.  Monthly  ..05 +.05

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.01 or  -.55.  Monthly,  -.T +.00

Average Temperature this month: 84.5 +4.0 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, ,  Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,.  courtesy UC Davis 

Sunrise. 6:23, Sunset, 7:39, hours of daylight, 13:23

Yesterday’s Weather:

 

  • MCE : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 102 /  63 / 0.00 /
  • MAE : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 103 /  65 / 0.00 /
  • FAT : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 105 /  73 / 0.00 /
  • HJO : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 106 /  64 / 0.00 /
  • NLC : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 108 /  66 / 0.00 /
  • BFL : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /  96 /  79 / 0.00 /
  • VIS : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 103 /  66 / 0.00 /
  • PTV : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 104 /  69 / 0.00 /
  • TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1648 / 104 /  78 / 0.00 /
  • Rainfall: 24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave         ave  365

STOCKTON                      0.00    9.81    73    7.88    59    13.37    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    9.00    74    7.12    58    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.44    63    7.00    60    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.34    58    6.59    60    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    6.36    79    4.29    53     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.41    86    2.77    44     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    5.64   120    1.69    36     4.71     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    7.31    58    5.79    46    12.52    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    8.70    72    6.74    56    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    7.79    59    6.87    52    13.24    13.32

Next report: August 23

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.