August 26, 2022
Merced County northward will receive minor relief from the heat due to a shallow burst of marine air. However, south of Merced County, triple digits will continue through Saturday. Currently, there is simply not enough difference in pressure to tug that marine layer inland, even though the marine layer is up to 2,000 feet. For example, the altimeter currently at San Francisco is 29.97 inches of mercury while at Las Vegas the pressure was 29.95. So, as you can see, there’s almost no difference. That will begin to change over the second half of the weekend as a weak upper air disturbance moves into northern California, increasing the onshore flow and allowing temperatures to fall back to near seasonal levels. With a little bit of luck, readings will drop into the mid to upper 90s Sunday through Tuesday. Models indicate a large upper high will build over the west beginning the middle of next week, meaning we’ll start off September much like August as readings move back into the 100 plus degree range. For now, the monsoon is being deflected well to our southeast, so no chance of precipitation for the foreseeable future.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 102/63/100/61/96 | Reedley 103/64/101/62/96 | Dinuba 101/63/100/61/95 |
| Porterville 102/63/101/61/96 | Lindsay 102/63/101/60/95 | Delano 103/64/101/62/97 |
| Bakersfield 102/75/100/71/94 | Taft 101/77/100/70/95 | Arvin 103/68/101/65/97 |
| Lamont 104/68/101/65/96 | Pixley 101/65/100/62/95 | Tulare 101/63/100/61/94 |
| Woodlake 102/62/101/60/95 | Hanford 103/65/101/61/96 | Orosi 100/62/99/61/94 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 61/95 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 63/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 64/100 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 68/102 |
Friday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Two Week Outlook: September 2 through September 8: This model shows the monsoon moving slightly to our east, reducing the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada. The trend of above average temperatures this August will continue.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph through Monday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light to near calm.
Rain: Expect dry weather indefinitely.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 59%/21% Porterville, 64%/23%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.99, Parlier 1.81, Arvin 2.14, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.81, Delano 1.84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 81, Arvin, 82, Orange Cove 81, Porterville NA, Delano 85. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 95/64. Record Temperatures: 108/52
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1710 +310. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.34 or -4.60. Monthly ..05 +.05
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.T +.00
Average Temperature this month: 84.6 +4.6 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:26, Sunset, 7:34, hours of daylight, 13:11
Yesterday’s Weather:
- MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 102 / 67 / 0.00 /
- MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 102 / 65 / 0.00 /
- FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 105 / 74 / 0.00 /
- HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 104 / 67 / 0.00 /
- NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 107 / 68 / 0.00 /
- BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / 89 / 79 / 0.00 /
- VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 102 / 67 / 0.00 /
- PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 104 / 70 / 0.00 /
- TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1650 / 103 / 78 / 0.00 /
- LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 63 / 0.00 /
- Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 9.00 74 7.12 58 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.34 58 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.36 79 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 5.64 120 1.69 36 4.71 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 58 5.79 46 12.52 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 27
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.