October 26, 2022
A weak weather system moved through the Pacific Northwest overnight and is now diving southeastward into the Great Basin. This will increase the difference in pressure between the northern California coast and the Great Basin, causing temperatures to drop anywhere from 4 to 7 degrees from yesterday’s reading. Some increase in winds can be anticipated today, mainly along the west side, but nothing significant. Just as quickly as this system lowers temperatures, readings will rise into the mid to upper 70s by Friday as a weak ridge builds eastward from the eastern Pacific. The pattern becomes muddy beginning Tuesday of next week. more models are pointing towards possible wet weather by the middle of next week. the GFS model shows a trough digging southward from the Gulf of Alaska and into the western US. Since this is the second day in a row that the GFS model has pointed towards wet weather, and a few others have fallen in line, we’ll introduce a small chance of rain beginning Tuesday night and lasting through Thursday of next week. this same model shows another system following a similar path the weekend of November 6. It would be really nice to see the rainfall season get off to a good start.
Forecast: Other than occasional cloudiness, it will be mostly clear through Monday night. Increasing cloudiness Tuesday with a slight chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 71/37/73/37/77 | Reedley 72/38/74/39/78 | Dinuba 71/37/73/37/76 |
| Porterville 72/38/74/39/78 | Lindsay 72/36/74/38/77 | Delano 73/40/74/41/78 |
| Bakersfield 71/50/72/51/76 | Taft 70/50/73/52/76 | Arvin 74/46/75/47/77 |
| Lamont 73/47/74/48/78 | Pixley 72/39/73/39/77 | Tulare 71/36/73/38/76 |
| Woodlake 72/38/74/39/77 | Hanford 73/40/74/41/78 | Orosi 72/38/74/38/76 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 41/78 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 40/75 |
Monday
Mostly clear 42/75 |
Tuesday
Increasing clouds 47/77 |
Wednesday
Chance of showers 49/74 |
Two Week Outlook: November 2 through November 8 This model certainly shows a greater potential for rain during this period. Along with the chance of rain will come a colder air mass, resulting in below average temperatures.
November: Both the 30 and 90 day projections indicate a swath of below average rainfall from southern California eastward to Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Much of northern California is projected to have near average rainfall. Temperatures will remain marginally above average.
November, December, January: The 90 day model also projects lower than average precipitation from southern California through Texas with above average precipitation over the Pacific Northwest. Northern and north/central California are projected to have near average precipitation with marginally above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds later today will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 15 mph. Locally stronger gusts are possible, mainly along the Interstate 5 corridor. Winds later this evening through Saturday will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry weather to continue through probably Tuesday. Beyond Tuesday, we’ll add at least a slight chance of rain to the forecast as some models depict a trough of low pressure digging southward over and off the west coast, spreading precipitation over most of California. The fact that the GFS model has been pointing in this direction for two days now ups the ante a little bit. So, for the purpose of conversation, we’ll add a slight chance of showers to the forecast for Tuesday through Thursday of next week. the same models are showing a similar system the weekend of November 6. Keep your fingers crossed as just possibly rain is on the horizon.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 80%/20%, Porterville, 95%/21%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: 90%, tomorrow 80%.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 97, Parlier, 80, Arvin 1.05, Porterville, 84, Delano 82.
Tomorrow, 90. Seven day soil temperature
Stratford.69, Parlier 68, Arvin, 72, Porterville 73, Delano 72. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 74/48. Record Temperatures: 89/35
Heating Degree Days This Season. 14 -36. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .00 -.39, Monthly .,00 -.39
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .00 or -.18. Monthly, -.00 -.18
Average Temperature this month: 71.2 +5.3, Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:18, Sunset, 6:07, hours of daylight, 10:51
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 77 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 76 / 44 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 76 / 51 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 78 / 40 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 80 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 76 / 54 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 76 / 42 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 77 / 45 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 74 / 46 / 0.00 /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 3.86 804 0.48 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 2.80 737 0.38 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 1.73 384 0.45 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.57 190 0.30 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 1.27 326 0.39 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 1.10 333 0.33 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.94 522 0.18 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 T 0 0.65 232 0.28 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 0.01 2 1.62 386 0.42 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 1.57 403 0.39 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 1.29 358 0.36 13.32
Next report: Thursday, October 27
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.