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Forecast

April 14, 2023 report

April 14, 2023 am

Summary: Skies are mostly clear over central California this morning. Today will see the start of an at least three day warming trend which, by Monday, will push afternoon highs near the 80 degree mark. A zone of upper level pressure off shore will push inland. The flow aloft which is currently out of the northwest will become westerly Saturday and Sunday and southwesterly Monday. the latest freezing level reading over Oakland is at 11,000 feet. That will steadily rise this weekend as warmer air moves in aloft. By Monday night, the pattern will be transitioning into a trough of low pressure which will be the dominant feature Tuesday through Thursday. Some models show showers spreading down to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line Tuesday through Wednesday, but maintain a  dry forecast over the remainder of the growing area. By Friday, the next ridge of high pressure will shift eastward over the area.  There are models showing widespread 80s next weekend.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies with a warming trend through Monday. partly cloudy Monday night. Variable cloudiness Tuesday through Thursday with a small chance of light showers down to a Monterey/Merced line Tuesday and Wednesday. Partly cloudy Thursday night and mostly clear Friday.

 

Temperatures:     

Madera

71/41/77/46/80

Reedley

73/42/78/47/79

Dinuba

72/41/77/45/78

Porterville

72/42/78/46/80

Lindsay

71/41/78/45/79

Delano

72/44/78/48/81

Bakersfield

71/48/78/52/80

Taft

70/51/76/53/78

Arvin

72/45/78/48/81

Lamont

72/45/78/48/80

Pixley

71/43/77/46/80

Tulare

71/42/77/45/78

Woodlake

72//41/77/45/78

Hanford

72/43/79/48/81

Orosi

71/41/77/45/81

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

46/80

Tuesday

Variable clouds

42/74

Wednesday

Variable clouds

48/68

Thursday

Partly cloudy

40/68

Friday

Mostly clear

41/71

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 21 through April 27: This model has reverted back to a cooler and possibly wetter pattern as the storm track moves a bit further south. There is a reasonable chance of precipitation during this period.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and early evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 12 mph, becoming variable to near 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Monday will become out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with possibly stronger gusts during the afternoon.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather through at least Monday night. Models show showers moving down to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line any time from early Tuesday through Wednesday. The remainder of the growing area will remain dry. After Wednesday, a dry pattern will return.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.25, Parlier, 1.19, Arvin 1.16, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.22 Soil temperatures: Stratford 54, Parlier 60, Arvin 60, Porterville NA, Delano 62 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 96/34

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -9 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.0 -1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:28, sunset, 7:32.  hours of daylight, 13:02

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.  Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.35, Parlier, 1.21, Arvin 1.09, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.24 Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 62, Arvin 62, Porterville NA, Delano 65 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 98/36

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -10 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.2 -1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:25, sunset, 7:33.  hours of daylight, 13:06

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  67 /  44 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  66 /  41 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  67 /  45 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  69 /  47 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  69 /  40 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  66 /  48 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  67 /  45 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  67 /  47 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1649 /  64 /  50 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  66 /  45 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   188    9.08    75    12.18    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.30   176    8.78    80    10.95    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   190    6.71    64    10.55    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   112    1.71    18     9.71    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   179    5.99    61     9.77    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   198    5.80    79     7.32     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   170    5.01    87     5.73     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   339    4.75   118     4.03     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    63       M     M     1.67     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.71   118    6.91    59    11.64    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   180    8.48    74    11.42    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   187    7.40    60    12.40    13.32

 

Next report: April 15 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.