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Forecast

May 27, 2023 report

May 27, 2023 am

Summary: A trough of low pressure which moved through California yesterday has shifted into the Great Basin. A relatively low onshore flow continues, however. Satellite imagery shows coastal low clouds and fog well inland. In fact, Sacramento is reporting a low overcast at this hour. Weak high pressure will continue to struggle into California today through Sunday. However, with the marine layer nearly 4,000 feet deep, modified marine air will continue to trickle into the valley. The latest observation at Traverse AFB in the Delta was indicating sustained winds out of the southwest at 22 mph, gusting to 28. Some lower level clouds are even developing along the foothills of Kern and Tulare Counties. They will dissipate as the day wears on. In the meantime, a weak low over the Pacific Northwest will move slowly southward along the northern California coast, centering just northwest of the Golden Gate Sunday. It will move slowly down the coast Monday and Tuesday. No active weather will be associated with this feature other than scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the high Sierra. This will allow the sub 90 degree weather to continue. By Thursday, weak high pressure will begin to build in from the west, possibly allowing temperatures to move into the lower 90s.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday through Sunday. Mostly clear skies will continue Sunday night through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

83/55/88/56/86

Reedley

83/55/87/56/86

Dinuba

82/55/87/56/87

Porterville

84/56/87/57/84

Lindsay

83/56/87/58/84

Delano

84/58/85/57/85

Bakersfield

83/62/85/60/83

Taft

83/63/85/60/83

Arvin

86/58/87/58/86

Lamont

86/58/87/58/86

Pixley

84/55/87/56/87

Tulare

83/55/87/56/85

Woodlake

84/56/87/57/85

Hanford

85/56/86/57/84

Orosi

83/55/86/57/84

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

53/85

Wednesday

Mostly clear

53/83

Thursday

Mostly clear

55/85

Friday

Mostly clear

55/88

Saturday

Mostly clear

57/90

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 4 through June 10  This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.

 

May:  This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures

 

May, June, July:  This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 mph during the afternoon through the late evening hours with locally stronger gusts through Tuesday. Winds during the later night and morning hours will be generally out of the northwest at no more than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather for the next week to 10 days.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.89, Parlier, 1.75, Arvin 1.91, Delano 1.79.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 69,  Parlier 75, Arvin 77, Delano 81 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 86/57  Record Temperatures: 105/46

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  224 +55 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .35

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  T

Average Temperature this Month 69.6. +0.9 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:43, sunset, 8:10.  hours of daylight, 14:25

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  81 /  55 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  81 /  57 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  83 /  53 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 /  81 /  57 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  81 /  55 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  81 /  57 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  79 /  58 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  76 /  53 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   176    9.75    74    13.19    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   165    8.99    75    11.97    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   180    7.44    64    11.57    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   110    2.10    20    10.52    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   168    6.29    59    10.61    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.56   183    6.34    80     7.95     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.89   159    5.40    87     6.23     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   316    4.75   110     4.32     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.08    62       M     M     1.75     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.88   112    7.31    59    12.38    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.88   175    8.70    73    11.93    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.47   179    7.79    59    13.12    13.32

 

Next report: May 30 am

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.