June 16, 2023
Summary: The very weal trough of low pressure over southern California will remain for one more day. This has resulted in the winds aloft becoming northeasterly. It is also, in part, responsible for isolated thunderstorms over the southern Sierra Nevada. As these storms form over the high country later this afternoon, that northeast flow aloft may nudge a few of these cells over the foothills. The most we’ll see over the valley floor will be high clouds blowing off the tops of these storms. High pressure will briefly build in from the west Saturday, resulting in the warmest day of the week as readings push into the mid to upper 90s. a low center will move out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the interior west Sunday. This will deepen the marine layer along the coast, allowing modified marine air to move down the valley Sunday. As the onshore flow increases Monday and Tuesday, winds will pick up, gusting to as high as 20 to 25 mph Monday and Tuesday. As somewhat cooler air moves in aloft, and more modified marine air moves down the valley, temperatures will fall back into the low to mid 80s, a good 7 to 10 degrees below average.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Friday.
Temperatures:
Madera
94/62/98/63/92 |
Reedley
93/62/99/65/93 |
Dinuba
91/61/97/64/91 |
Porterville
94/63/98/64/93 |
Lindsay
92/61/97/63/93 |
Delano
94/65/97/67/94 |
Bakersfield
93/70/98/71/94 |
Taft
92/71/96/71/93 |
Arvin
94/66/99/66/94 |
Lamont
94/66/99/67/93 |
Pixley
93/64/97/64/94 |
Tulare
92/61/96/62/92 |
Woodlake
93/62/97/64/93 |
Hanford
94/62/98/65/93 |
Orosi
92/62/97/63/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
Monday
Mostly clear 58/89 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 53/85 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 53/84 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 54/88 |
Friday
Mostly clear 55/89 |
Two Week Outlook: June 23 through June 29 This model indicates the usual dry pattern over California during this time frame. A weak trough of low pressure will remain along the west coast for marginally above average temperatures.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically light all day and hot and light all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry..
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Saturday will be mainly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph at times. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Winds Saturday night through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times. Local gusts to near 25 will be possible, mainly during the afternoon through the evening hours.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.88, Parlier, 1.73, Arvin 1.90, Delano 1.71.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 69, Parlier 76, Arvin 78, Delano 82 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 92/62 Record Temperatures: 110/46
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 403 +55 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .37
Average Temperature this Month 74.3 -0.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:40, sunset, 8:20. hours of daylight, 14:40
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 90 / 61 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 92 / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 92 / 67 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 93 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 94 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 91 / 68 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 91 / 64 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 92 / 63 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1645 / 90 / 76 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 89 / 57 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 74 13.34 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 162 8.99 74 12.16 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 178 7.44 63 11.73 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.10 20 10.72 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 164 6.29 58 10.85 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 181 6.34 79 8.06 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.40 86 6.30 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.39 326 4.75 107 4.42 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 68 M M 1.77 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.47 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 73 11.99 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 181 7.79 59 13.19 13.32
Next report: June 17 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.