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  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
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  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

June 16, 2023 report

June 16, 2023

Summary: The very weal trough of low pressure over southern California will remain for one more day. This has resulted in the winds aloft becoming northeasterly. It is also, in part, responsible for isolated thunderstorms over the southern Sierra Nevada. As these storms form over the high country later this afternoon, that northeast flow aloft may nudge a few of these cells over the foothills. The most we’ll see over the valley floor will be high clouds blowing off the tops of these storms. High pressure will briefly build in from the west Saturday, resulting in the warmest day of the week as readings push into the mid to upper 90s. a low center will move out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the interior west Sunday. This will deepen the marine layer along the coast, allowing modified marine air to move down the valley Sunday. As the onshore flow increases Monday and Tuesday, winds will pick up, gusting to as high as 20 to 25 mph Monday and Tuesday.  As somewhat cooler air moves in aloft, and  more modified marine air moves down the valley, temperatures will fall back into the low to mid 80s, a good 7 to 10 degrees below average.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Friday.

Temperatures:

Madera

94/62/98/63/92

Reedley

93/62/99/65/93

Dinuba

91/61/97/64/91

Porterville

94/63/98/64/93

Lindsay

92/61/97/63/93

Delano

94/65/97/67/94

Bakersfield

93/70/98/71/94

Taft

92/71/96/71/93

Arvin

94/66/99/66/94

Lamont

94/66/99/67/93

Pixley

93/64/97/64/94

Tulare

92/61/96/62/92

Woodlake

93/62/97/64/93

Hanford

94/62/98/65/93

Orosi

92/62/97/63/92

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

58/89

Tuesday

Mostly clear

53/85

Wednesday

Mostly clear

53/84

Thursday

Mostly clear

54/88

Friday

Mostly clear

55/89

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 23 through June 29 This model indicates the usual dry pattern over California during this time frame. A weak trough of low pressure will remain along the west coast for marginally above average temperatures.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically light all day and hot and light all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry..

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds through Saturday will be mainly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph at times. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Winds Saturday night through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times. Local gusts to near 25 will be possible, mainly during the afternoon through the evening hours.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Mid to upper 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.88, Parlier, 1.73, Arvin 1.90, Delano 1.71.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 69, Parlier 76, Arvin 78, Delano 82 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 92/62  Record Temperatures: 110/46

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  403 +55 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.3 -0.0 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:40, sunset, 8:20.  hours of daylight, 14:40

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  90 /  61 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  92 /  67 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  93 /  64 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  94 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  91 /  68 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  91 /  64 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  92 /  63 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1645 /  90 /  76 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  89 /  57 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    74    13.34    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.16    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   178    7.44    63    11.73    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.10    20    10.72    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.85    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.06     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.40    86     6.30     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   326    4.75   107     4.42     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.77     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.47    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    11.99    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.19    13.32

 

Next report: June 17 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.