June 22, 2023 report

We will be out of the office July 1 through July 8. Reports will resume July 10.

 

 

June 22, 2023

Summary: A persistent trough of upper level low pressure stretches from central Canada to another low center just west of San Francisco. That low will begin to shift across California tonight and Friday. As it does, another push of modified marine air will move down the valley. Most locations Wednesday warmed into the mid to upper 80s. Readings today, and more especially Friday, will fall back into the low to mid 80s as that renewed charge of marine air becomes apparent. Typically, if you have a fairly long spell of unusually mild weather, the flip side can’t be too far behind. I can now say there’s a trend towards hot weather beginning around the 29^th of June and lasting through the Fourth of July weekend. Just how hot is the main question. The new GFS models shows hottest locations near 110. This, of course, is still a ways off. However, a strong high center will develop over northern and central California, linking up with another high over northern Mexico and the Desert Southwest. At any rate, enjoy the next few days as overdue summer heat is on the horizon.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and mild through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Thursday with a slow warming trend.

 

Temperatures:

Madera 84/50/81/49/88	Reedley 85/51/83/51/87	Dinuba 84/49/83/51/86
Porterville 85/54/83/51/87	Lindsay 84/49/83/50/87	Delano 84/52/82/51/87
Bakersfield 85/55/81/58/86	Taft 81/53/80/57/82	Arvin 85/54/82/57/87
Lamont 85/53/83/54/88	Pixley 85/50/83/52/88	Tulare 83/49/82/49/86
Woodlake 84/49/83/50/87	Hanford 85/51/84/54/88	Orosi 84/49/83/54/86

 

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday Mostly clear 54/89

Monday Mostly clear 56/90

Tuesday Mostly clear 57/92

Wednesday Mostly clear 60/94

Thursday Mostly clear 63/97

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 28 through July 4  This model indicates a blanket of overall high pressure will dominate the pattern through the 4^th of July weekend, resulting in above average temperatures and the typically dry conditions.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  There will be periods of winds out of the west/northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts possible through Sunday, mainly in the later afternoon through early evening hours. Winds Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.07, Parlier, 1.94, Arvin 2.07, Delano 1.83.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier 76, Arvin 82, Delano 84 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 93/62  Record Temperatures: 109/49

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  466 +88 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.6 -0.4 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1^st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:21.  hours of daylight, 14:41

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  84 /  50 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  86 /  47 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  86 /  56 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  88 /  55 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  88 /  49 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 /  83 /  55 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  85 /  49 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /  83 /  56 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  85 /  49 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  83 /  58 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  83 /  52 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.35    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.18    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   178    7.44    63    11.74    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.10    20    10.74    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.89    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.07     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.40    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   324    4.75   107     4.44     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.78     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.48    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    11.99    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.20    13.32

Next report: June 23 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.