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Forecast

June 23, 2023 report

We will be out of the office July 1 through July 8. Reports will resume July 10.

 

 

June 23, 2023

Summary: Since we’re under a very dull weather pattern, and this is the longest day of the year, I thought I would throw some weather folklore at you. Today, we will enjoy 14:41 minutes of daylight. Beginning Saturday, the days grow slowly shorter until we reach the first day of winter on December 21 when we enjoy just 9:39 of daylight, a full five hours and two minutes shorter than today. Just thought Uncle Hector would like to know this. Back to business. An upper low is located over western Nevada this morning and is slowly shifting eastward. The valley remains pooled with marine air due to the fact barometers are lower over the interior west than off shore. The sub-90 degree weather we’ve enjoyed recently will continue, but will incrementally rise beginning Saturday as the trough of low pressure weakens and, by the latter part of next week, is displaced by upper level high pressure nosing in from the west. For the third day in a row, models are projecting a hot Fourth of July weekend. In fact, a zone of upper level high pressure stretches from the eastern Pacific eastward all the way to the Midwest. How hot it ultimately becomes will be determined by the strength and placement of the high. For now, widespread triple digits next week and the following one appear likely.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and mild through Monday. Mostly clear Monday night through Friday with a slow warming trend.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

83/50/87/53/89

Reedley

84/51/88/54/89

Dinuba

82/49/85/52/86

Porterville

83/49/87/52/88

Lindsay

83/50/86/53/89

Delano

84/53/87/55/89

Bakersfield

83/61/86/62/88

Taft

81/58/84/61/86

Arvin

84/56/87/57/89

Lamont

85/57/87/59/89

Pixley

83/51/87/55/89

Tulare

82/48/85/53/87

Woodlake

83/51/87/55/58

Hanford

84/54/87/56/88

Orosi

83/49/85/52/86

 

Seven Day Forecast

Monday

Mostly clear

56/89

Tuesday

Mostly clear

57/91

Wednesday

Mostly clear

59/92

Thursday

Mostly clear

62/94

Friday

Mostly clear

65/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  June 30 through July 6  This model indicates a blanket of overall high pressure will dominate the pattern through the 4th of July weekend, resulting in above average temperatures and the typically dry conditions.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  There will be periods of winds out of the west/northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times with stronger gusts possible through Monday, mainly in the later afternoon through early evening hours.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.  Kern: Mid to upper mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.06, Parlier, 1.92, Arvin 2.07, Delano 1.84.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier 76, Arvin 82, Delano 83 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 94/63  Record Temperatures: 109/50

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  472 +42 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.7 -0.7 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:22.  hours of daylight, 14:41

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  84 /  50 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  84 /  58 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  85 /  56 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  86 /  52 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  70 /  60 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  83 /  53 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /  81 /  60 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  85 /  53 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1652 /  83 /  61 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  84 /  55 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.35    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.18    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   178    7.44    63    11.74    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.10    20    10.74    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.89    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.07     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.40    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   324    4.75   107     4.44     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.78     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.48    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    11.99    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.20    13.32

Next report: June 24 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.