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Forecast

June 24, 2023 report

We will be out of the office July 1 through July 8. Reports will resume July 10.

 

 

June 24, 2023

Summary: Temperatures yesterday afternoon on the valley floor remained unusually mild, ranging from just 79 in Bakersfield to 83 at the Lemoore NAS. Modified marine air continues to move down the valley. The latest report out of Travis AFB was indicating winds were out of the southwest at 20 mph. The air aloft is beginning to slowly warm, though. The freezing level over Oakland has now risen to 12,300 feet, up from 10,000 feet over the past 24 hours. A weak trough of low pressure remains along the west coast, but it is slowly weakening with time. This will allow temperatures to incrementally move upward during the week. beginning Friday, a strong ridge of high pressure aloft will build in from the west, eventually interconnecting with another high center located over the Desert Southwest. This continues the trend pointing towards hot weather over the Fourth of July weekend. Currently it looks like temperatures Saturday through Tuesday will range from 103 to 107. Of course, there’s still time between now and the pending heat wave so it’s possible temperatures could drift one way or another. The bottom line is, it will be hot. The only element of the weather we have going for us will be a very dry air mass with relative humidity values by the heat of the afternoon well down into the teens. At least slight cooling is due after the Fourth, but it still looks like we’re in for a prolonged bout of hot weather.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear with occasional high clouds through Thursday. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

85/53/87/54/89

Reedley

86/53/88/54/89

Dinuba

84/52/86/54/88

Porterville

86/53/88/56/90

Lindsay

86/53/88/55/89

Delano

87/55/88/56/90

Bakersfield

85/60/88/63/90

Taft

83/58/85/59/86

Arvin

87/57/88/58/91

Lamont

87/56/89/57/90

Pixley

85//55/87/56/89

Tulare

84/52/85/55/87

Woodlake

86/53/88/55/90

Hanford

86/54/88/57/91

Orosi

85/52/86/54/88

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

57/91

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/93

Thursday

Mostly clear

60/95

Friday

Mostly clear

64/100`

Saturday

Mostly clear

68/104

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 1 through July 1  This model indicates a blanket of overall high pressure will dominate the pattern through the 4th of July weekend, resulting in above average temperatures and the typically dry conditions.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the afternoon through the late evening hours will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. locally stronger gusts are possible from the late morning through the late evening hours.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.02, Parlier, 1.89, Arvin 2.06, Delano 1.81.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier 75, Arvin 81, Delano 82 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 94/63  Record Temperatures: 110/51

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  476 +33 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .37

Average Temperature this Month 74.1 -1.1 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:22.  hours of daylight, 14:41

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  80 /  53 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  81 /  52 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  81 /  57 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  82 /  54 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  83 /  52 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  79 /  57 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  81 /  53 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  81 /  52 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1653 /  79 /  54 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /   M /  55 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.35    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.71   162    8.99    74    12.19    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   178    7.44    63    11.74    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.75    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   164    6.29    58    10.90    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   181    6.34    79     8.07     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   323    4.75   107     4.45     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    68       M     M     1.79     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.48    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    73    12.00    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   181    7.79    59    13.20    13.32

 

Next report: June 26 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.