July 12, 2023
Summary: Temperatures through Thursday will be quite typical for mid July as readings will be in the upper 90s to the lower 100s. Currently, there is a massive zone of upper level high pressure stretching from the southeast US westward through the Desert Southwest then off to off shore southern California. The main center of circulation is over the Four Corners region. This is maintaining a fairly shallow layer of marine air along the coast as the depth of the marine layer is currently measured at 1,600 feet. The freezing level is certainly summer like. According to the latest balloon sounding, it’s pegged at 17,300 feet over Vandenburg AFB and 16.400 feet over Oakland. Beginning Thursday night and Friday, the high will begin to expand to the west and north with the main high center right over California Saturday through Monday. this will drive temperatures to excessive levels over the weekend and into early next week. readings above the 110 degree mark will not be a surprise, especially Sunday and Monday. even Saturday, readings will range between 106 and 110. By Wednesday, a trough of low pressure will move into the Pacific Northwest, spanking the high back into the Four Corners region. This will allow the coastal marine layer to deepen and possibility move down the valley, hopefully cooling temperatures down into the high 90s by next Thursday. We also have a new tropical storm, Calvin, which will become a hurricane. This storm will move west/northwest and will have no impact on California.
Forecast: Clear skies and hot through Friday. Clearing and excessively hot Friday night through Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
100/63/101/64/104 |
Reedley
101/64/101/65/103 |
Dinuba
98/61/99/63/101 |
| Porterville
100/64/101/65/104 |
Lindsay
99/60/100/62/102 |
Delano
101/64/101/65/103 |
| Bakersfield
101/72/101/73/103 |
Taft
99/75/100/75/101 |
Arvin
101/66/102/67/103 |
| Lamont
100/65/101/66/103 |
Pixley
101/64/101/65/104 |
Tulare
99/61/100/63/102 |
| Woodlake
99/61/100/64/101 |
Hanford
100/64/101/65/102 |
Orosi
99/61/100/63/101 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 73/108 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 75/110 |
Monday
Mostly clear 76//112 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 76/106 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 69/102 |
Two Week Outlook: July 19 through July 25: This model indicates the typical summertime high will be over the Desert Southwest and California. This pattern will maintain above average temperatures with very dry conditions prevailing.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Saturday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.08, Parlier, 1.89, Arvin 2.09, Delano 1.77.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier 79, Arvin 84, Delano 82 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66 Record Temperatures: 109/52
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 739 +30 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 81.0 +0.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:50, sunset, 8:19. hours of daylight, 14:29
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 98 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 99 / 58 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 99 / 68 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 100 / 57 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 99 / 57 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 99 / 70 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 95 / 59 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / 96 / 74 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 98 / 60 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1700 / 94 / 93 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 177 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 58 10.92 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.39 317 4.75 105 4.54 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 66 M M 1.82 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 72 12.02 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.22 13.32
Next report: July 13 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.