August 23, 2023
Summary A warm, humid air mass remains trapped in the valley following Hurricane Hilary’s passage. Temperatures in the low to 90s today and mid to upper 90s will be somewhat uncomfortable due to the high humidity. Two main players will govern our weather through the weekend. The first is a weak upper low center off the northern coast. The second is a massive high centered over Missouri. The far western side of the high bulges into the Desert Southwest. The clockwise flow around the high and the counter clockwise circulation around the off shore low will maintain a dry southwesterly flow aloft for generally clear skies for the foreseeable future. The upper low off shore may move in close enough to allow a shallow intrusion of marine air down the valley, possibly lowering temperatures into the low to mid 90s, which is just what the doctor ordered to enhance the drying process on the valley floor. longer term, the low will finally move inland to the Pacific Northwest Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing high pressure over the Midwest to retrograde over California. Models show the high remaining well enough to the east to keep triple digits out of the forecast.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear Monday night through Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
94/66/97/65/93 |
Reedley
95/67/98/68/96 |
Dinuba
93/66/94/65/92 |
| Porterville
95/67/98/68/96 |
Lindsay
95/67/97/67/95 |
Delano
95/69/98/68/95 |
| Bakersfield
94/74/97/74/93 |
Taft
92/74/94/71/91 |
Arvin
96/71/98/71/96 |
| Lamont
97/70/98/79/96 |
Pixley
94/68/95/68/92 |
Tulare
93/65/94/66/91 |
| Woodlake
92/65/94/66/91 |
Hanford
94/67/97/67/96 |
Orosi
93/66/94/65/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 67/96 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 65/97 |
Monday
Mostly clear 67/98 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 67/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/92 |
Two Week Outlook: August 30 through September 5 This model shows highest pressure over the middle of the country with a weak trough of low pressure off the Pacific coast. This will result in generally average temperatures with little risk of precipitation.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: Winds today will be variable to 15 mph. Stronger gusts are possible in the vicinity of showers or thunderstorms. Winds tonight through Friday will be generally at or less than 7mph nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions. Winds during the afternoons will generally be out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph through Sunday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 60s. Kern: Mid to upper 60s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.47, Parlier, 1.42, Arvin 1.72, Delano 1.45.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 79, Parlier 81, Arvin 82, Delano 81 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 96/64 Record Temperatures: 112/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1544 +167 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 18.02, Monthly .19
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 11.34, Monthly: 1.08
Average Temperature this Month 82.3 +1.9 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:23, Sunset, 7:38. hours of daylight, 13:17
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 90 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 92 / 63 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 92 / 67 / 0.02 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 91 / 68 / T /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 92 / 65 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 88 / 69 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 88 / 66 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 88 / 65 / 0.08 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1700 / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 88 / 65 / M /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.93 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.67 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.01 18.02 165 6.34 58 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 15.06 186 6.36 79 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 11.34 180 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 16.60 352 5.64 120 4.71 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 3.47 176 1.70 86 1.97 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 111 7.31 58 12.52 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 24.05 182 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 24
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.