November 30, 2023
Summary: A fast moving trough of low pressure from the Gulf of Alaska will move through the valley later this afternoon and this evening. This system is very weak but will be accompanied by variable clouds and an outside chance of sprinkles or light showers. As barometric pressure rises off shore and dips over the interior, winds will begin to pick up with breezy conditions, especially along the west side, tonight and Friday. A marginally cooler air mass will overspread the region with highs dropping into the upper 50s by Friday. Lows tonight will be mostly above freezing due to wind conditions and cloud cover. A zonal flow will set up over the weekend. This fast, west to east flow into the Pacific Northwest will mean significant rain for the northwest and northwest California. Dry weather will prevail for central and southern California due to a ridge of high pressure stretching from the eastern Pacific over California. In fact, models maintain a dry forecast not just for the weekend but into next week and possibly even the following week as the high builds even farther north.
Forecast: Variable cloudiness today and tonight. A slight chance of showers this afternoon and evening. Mostly cloudy Friday morning. becoming mostly clear in the afternoon with the exception of Kern and Tulare Counties which will remain mostly to partly cloudy into Saturday morning. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday afternoon on through Thursday of next week.
Temperatures
| Madera 60/37/58/31/6035 | Reedley 62/35/58/31/59 | Dinuba 60/37/59/31/59 |
| Porterville 62/36/58/31/69 | Lindsay 61/35/58/30/58 | Delano 62/38/59/32/59 |
| Bakersfield 62/43/57/38/60 | Taft] 57/44/53/41/55 | Arvin 63/38/57/34/60 |
| Lamont 61/40/57/34/59 | Pixley 62/37/58/31/59 | Tulare 61/36/58/30/58 |
| Woodlake 61/35/30/58 | Hanford 62/37/59/30.//58 | Orosi 60/35/59/31/59 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday ] Mostly clear 32/62 | Monday Mostly clear 32/63 | Tuesday Mostly clear 32/64 | Wednesday Mostly clear 34/66 | Thursday Mostly clear 35/68 |
Two Week Outlook: December 7 through December13 This model shows above average precipitation for northern California with the southern 2/3 of California remaining dry. With that in mind, the chance of precipitation remains low with above average temperatures prevailing.
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Rain Discussion: A fast moving trough of low pressure will move down the valley late this afternoon through the evening hours. There is a slight chance of showers or sprinkles from the late afternoon through the late evening hours. However, realistically I believe most areas will remain dry.. expect dry weather this weekend and through all of next week
Frost Discussion: All locations will be above freezing tonight but just slightly above in the coldest locations. For Saturday morning. low to mid 30s appear likely with upper 20s in the coldest locations. A cooler air mass will overspread the valley tonight and Friday. Upsloping will bank clouds up against the north facing slopes of the Tehachapi and the southern Sierra Nevada, possibly into Saturday morning. a zone of high pressure will dominate our pattern for the next seven nights after tonight. This will warm afternoon highs into the 60s next week with overnight lows mostly in the low to mid 30s. upper 20s are possible in the coldest locations. In the medium range no models are showing a pattern conducive for excessively cold temperatures.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella af | Porterville af | Ivanhoe af | Woodlake af |
| Strathmore af | McFarland af | Ducor af | Tea Pot Dome af |
| Lindsay af | Exeter af | Famoso af | Madera af |
| Belridge af | Delano af | North Bakersfield af | Orosi af |
| Orange Cove af | Lindcove af | Lindcove Hillside af | Sanger River Bottom af |
| Root creek af | Venice Hill af | Rosedale af | Jasmine af |
| Arvin af | Lamont af | Plainview af | Mettler af |
| Edison af | Maricopa af | Holland Creek af | Tivy Valley af |
| Kite Road South af | Kite Road North af |
AF=Above Freezing
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Upper 20s to the lower 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .55, Parlier, .48, Arvin .56, Delano .47.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 55, Arvin 57, Delano 53
Average Temperatures: 59/39, Record Temperatures: 77/29
Heating Degree Days Season. 313 -111 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .21
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 55.8 +2.4 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 197 Arvin, 154 Belridge, 165 Shafter, 173 Stratford, 175 Delano 176. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:53. Sunset, 4:43 hours of daylight, 9:51
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 64 / 37 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / M / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 64 / 42 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 38 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 65 / 41 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 66 / 45 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 64 / 36 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 35 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr seas. % L.Y % S.Ave. 365
STOCKTON T 0.64 32 1.24 61 2.02 13.45
MODESTO 0.01 0.96 61 1.19 76 1.57 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.00 62 0.99 61 1.62 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.43 33 0.50 38 1.32 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.21 15 0.66 47 1.39 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.13 12 0.59 56 1.05 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.32 42 0.66 86 0.77 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.25 38 0.46 71 0.65 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 5 0.02 9 0.22 2.20
SALINAS T 0.22 12 1.46 81 1.80 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.02 1.76 127 0.71 51 1.39 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.02 0.35 22 0.99 61 1.61 13.32
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Next report: November 30/am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.