December 1, 2023
Summary: A fast moving trough of low pressure moved through central California overnight. The only location I could find with measurable rainfall was Porterville with .03. a few other locations posted trace amounts. A northwest push of air is now moving down the valley. The lifting factor of the Kern County mountains has formed a solid cloud deck over Kern County and southeastern Tulare County. These clouds will be slow to move off. The base of the overcast above Bakersfield is 7,000 feet while the sounding above Porterville pegged the base of the overcast near 5,000 feet. Further north, mostly clear skies prevai; the trough of low pressure has already sped into the Great Basin. As barometric pressure falls over the interior, and rises off shore, winds will begin to pick up out of the west/northwest. They’ll range between 10 and 20 mph with stronger gusts with lighter winds elsewhere. Upper level high pressure centered about 1,000 miles southwest of Los Angeles will now build eastward into California, nudging the storm track back into the Pacific Northwest, bringing the temperatures back down into the lower 60s.
Forecast: Mostly cloudy this morning over Kern County and southeastern Tulare County with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies elsewhere. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy this afternoon through Sunday with patchy morning fog. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday night through Friday.
Temperatures
| Madera 59/31/60/31/62 | Reedley 61/31/61/31/63 | Dinuba 59/31/61/31/62 |
| Porterville 58/31/61/31/63 | Lindsay 58/30/61/31/63 | Delano 59/33/61/32/63 |
| Bakersfield 57/37/60/36/62 | Taft 56/42/59/43/61 | Arvin 57/33/60/33/62 |
| Lamont 58/33/61/31/62 | Pixley 50/31/60/31/63 | Tulare 59/29/60/30/62 |
| Woodlake 59/31/61/31/63 | Hanford 60/32/60/31/62 | Orosi 60/31/62/30/63 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday Mostly clear 34/62 | Tuesday Mostly clear 35/64 | Wednesday Mostly clear 36/68 | Thursday Mostly clear 37./70 | Friday Partly cloudy 36/63 |
Two Week Outlook: December 7 through December13 This model shows above average precipitation for northern California with the southern 2/3 of California remaining dry. With that in mind, the chance of precipitation remains low with above average temperatures prevailing.
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather for the next 5 days and possibly longer.
Frost Discussion: Northwesterly winds are moving down the valley and are issuing in a somewhat colder air mass. Lows tonight with vary considerably due to the possibility of lingering clouds in Kern County, wind conditions, and mixing. Most other locations will drop into the lower 30s. Upper 20s will be possible in the wind sheltered frog pond locations. Most frost pockets will chill down to 29 to 31 with most flatland locations in the low to mid 30s. hillside locations will remain above freezing. The inversion tonight will be weak with temperatures at 34 feet generally 2 to 5 degrees warmer. Lows should be similar Sunday morning. as stronger high pressure builds in Monday through Wednesday, daytime highs will warm into the mid to upper 60s by Wednesday. Low temperatures will be slower to respond and will generally remain in the low to mid 30s through the middle of the week.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella 31 | Porterville 31 | Ivanhoe 30 | Woodlake 31 | |
| Strathmore 31 | mcFarland 30 | Ducor 32 | Tea Pot Dome 31 | |
| Lindsay 30 | Exeter 29 | Famoso 31 | Madera 31 | |
| Belridge 30 | Delano 31 | North Bakersfield 33 | Orosi 30 | |
| Orange Cove 31 | Lindcove 29 | Lindcove Hillside af | Sanger River Bottom 28[TH1] | |
| Root Creek 29 | Venice Hill 31 | Rosedale 33 | Jasmine 32 | |
| Arvin af | Lamont af | Plainview 31 | Mettler af | |
| Edison af | Maricopa 32 | Holland Creek af | Tivy Valley 30 | |
| Kite Road South af | Kite Road North 30 | |||
AF=Above Freezing
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Upper 20s to the lower 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .53, Parlier, .45, Arvin .51, Delano .47.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 54, Arvin 57, Delano 52
Average Temperatures: 59/38, Record Temperatures: 76/29
Heating Degree Days Season. 325 -116 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 55.7 +2.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 211 Arvin, 164 Belridge, 175 Shafter, 183 Stratford, 188 Delano 189. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:54. Sunset, 4:43 hours of daylight, 9:50
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 65 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / 40 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 64 / 47 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 67 / 45 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 67 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 61 / 44 / T /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 62 / 44 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 60 / 43 / 0.03 /
Rainfall: 24hr seas. % L.Y % S.Ave. 365
MERCED 0.00 1.00 60 0.99 60 1.66 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.43 32 0.50 37 1.36 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.21 15 0.66 46 1.43 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.13 12 0.59 55 1.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.32 41 0.66 84 0.79 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.25 38 0.46 70 0.66 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 5 0.02 9 0.22 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.70 38 1.46 78 1.86 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.76 123 0.71 50 1.43 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.35 21 0.99 60 1.66 1
…………………………………………………………………………….
Next report: December 1/pm
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.