February 10, 2024
Summary Upslope clouds continue to regenerate over mainly Tulare and Kern Counties. Further north, skies are mostly clear with patchy fog. Cloud cover resulted in lows generally in the mid 30s to the lower 40s last night. That will not be the case tonight as upper level high pressure just off shore finally begins to take over. Widespread low to mid 30s can be anticipated tonight and again Sunday night. the high currently building into California ridges well to the north into southern British Columbia. The high will keep the dry weather pattern in place along with a warming trend through at least Friday. By Tuesday, warmer locations will be in the mid 60s. models continue to point to a major change next weekend. For the fifth day in a row, models are showing a deep low center developing over the mid Pacific Ocean, placing it just off the northern California coast Friday night through Sunday. As you might have guessed, models are also showing an atmospheric river of air moving inland somewhere in California. We’re still a ways out, but at this juncture, it looks like a major storm system resulting in heavy rain over the lower elevations and heavy snow over the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada. It’s too early to tell whether this system will rival the most recent storm, but at the very least it will be a major winter storm for all of California.
Forecast: Partly cloudy this morning. becoming mostly clear this afternoon. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy tonight through Thursday night with patchy late night and early morning fog. Increasing cloudiness Friday leading to a chance of rain Friday night. rain likely Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 56/32/61/33/62 | Reedley 55/31/61/33/62 | Dinuba 54/32/60/32/62 |
| Porterville 57/32/61/33/62 | Lindsay 55/31/61/32/63 | Delano 57/33/60/34/63 |
| Bakersfield 58/37/63/37/63 | Taft 54/39/56/40/60 | Arvin 57/33/63/36/64 |
| Lamont 56/34/63/35/63 | Pixley 56/32/61/33/63 | Tulare 55/31/60/32/62 |
| Woodlake 55/31/61/32/62 | Hanford 57/32/611/33/63 | Orosi 56/31/60/32/62 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday Patchy fog/mostly clear 35/62 | Wednesday Patchy fog/mostly clear 37/63 | Thursday Mostly clear 42/66 | Friday Increasing clouds 45/65 | Saturday Rain likely 49/67 |
Two Week Forecast: February 16 through February 22: There is a 70% to 80% chance of above average precipitation during this time frame. In fact, modeling appears similar to that which produced all the wild weather recently. These storms will likely have a pineapple connection, resulting in above average temperatures.
Thirty Day Report: This model depicts temperatures near to marginally above average during this time frame. A good chance of above average precipitation will continue through the month as the El Nino pattern continues.
Ninety Day Report: This model favors the storm track being much further south than in most years, resulting in above average precipitation. temperatures on this model are also negligibly above average.
Winds: Winds will be generally in the 5 to 12 mph range through Tuesday. Local gusts to 20 mph are possible near showers today and tonight.
Rain: Dry weather will continue through Friday. This is the fifth day in a row both the European model and the GFS model have pointed to yet another storm event beginning Saturday. There are many similarities between the upcoming pattern and the storm that just passed. A strong low will be off the northern California/Oregon coast with yet another atmospheric river moving on shore in California. It’s unclear at this time the exact path this AR will take. Wherever it is, another round of heavy rain can be expected. This will be another multi day event as models keep the low just off shore through at least Monday. the two week model gives an 80% chance of above average precipitation.
Frost: Cloud cover resulted in lows generally in the mid 30s to the lower 40s at most locations. That will not be the case tonight as high resolution modeling shows no more than a 10% to 20% chance of cloud cover. Expect widespread low to mid 30s tonight. Isolated river bottom type locations may chill into the upper 20s. Similar conditions can be expected Monday morning. by Tuesday, the air mass will have moderated somewhat with overnight lows generally in the mid 30s to near 40. The medium range outlook appears quite mild as another round of Pacific storms will begin late Friday and continuing through Monday. at this time, there’s no indication of a particularly cold pattern coming up.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella 32 | Porterville 31q | Ivanhoe 31 | Woodlake 32 |
| Strathmore 32 | McFarland 33 | Ducor 32 | Tea pot dome 313 |
| Lindsay 31 | Exeter 31 | Famoso 33 | Madera 32 |
| Belridge 31 | Delano 33 | North Bakersfield af | Orosi 32 |
| Orange cove 32 | Lindcove 31 | Lindcove Hillside AF | Sanger river bottom 29 |
| Root creek 30 | Venice hill 32 | Rosedale 33 | Jasmine 33 |
| Arvin af | Lamont af | Plainview 32 | Mettler af |
| Edison af | Maricopa af | Holland creek af | Tivy Valley 31 |
| Kite Road South af | Kite Road North 31 |
AF=Above Freezing
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30 to the lower 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .28, Parlier, .28, Arvin .41, Delano .43.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 54, Arvin NA, Delano 55
Average Temperatures: 60/40, Record Temperatures: 76/29
Heating Degree Days Season. 1264 -472 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .5.15, Monthly 2.35
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 4.25, Monthly: 1.64
Average Temperature this Month 52.4 +3.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 689 Arvin, 600 Belridge, 604 Shafter, 652 Stratford, 670 Delano 675. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:52. Sunset, 5:35 hours of daylight, 10:41
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 56 / 39 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 57 / 36 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 56 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 57 / 37 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 57 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 54 / 41 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 56 / 38 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 56 / 41 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON 0.00 9.07 114 15.75 198 7.97 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 11.36 160 13.54 190 7.12 12.27
MERCED 0.00 8.70 132 13.47 204 6.61 11.80
MADERA 0.00 5.80 99 5.14 88 5.86 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.15 86 9.83 164 5.98 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 5.10 115 6.99 158 4.42 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 4.25 124 4.50 131 3.44 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 3.10 114 8.73 321 2.72 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 2.38 236 0.39 39 1.01 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 8.28 112 9.13 124 7.39 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 11.97 173 12.94 187 6.92 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 8.42 115 13.61 186 7.33 13.32