March 15, 2024 report

March 15, 2024

Summary The main feature on this morning’s model information is a cut off low centered near the California/Mexico border. Scattered showers are occurring over the mountains and deserts of southern California. Light showers are possible as far north as the Tehachapi Mountains. However, the valley will remain north of any active weather. The low is forecast to meander over the same real estate for the next 48 hours then move slowly into Arizona Saturday night and Sunday. In the meantime. Upper level high pressure is building northward into the Pacific Northwest and southern Canada. This high will effectively block any future storms from getting anywhere near California. As the high builds overhead, temperatures will warm accordingly with temperatures moving into the low to mid 70s Saturday and Sunday, the warmest locations on the valley floor Monday through Wednesday may eclipse the 80 degree mark. By around Saturday the 23^rd, a low is projected to develop off the coast of the Pacific Northwest and northern California, possibly spreading showers over the area. Until then, fine spring weather will prevail.

Forecast Mostly clear skies through Monday. mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Friday.

Short Term:                                                                                                              

Madera 70/41/73/41/73	Reedley 71/40/74/44/74	Dinuba 69/30/72/42/73
Porterville 71/39/73/43/74	Lindsay 70/37/74/41/75	Delano 72/40/74/44/75
Bakersfield 71/45/74/46/74	Taft 68/48/70/49/70	Arvin 71/43/74/44/75
Lamont 72/44/75/46/75	Pixley 71/41/73/44/73	Tulare 70/38/73/44/73
Woodlake 70/37/72/42/73	Hanford 71/40/74/44/75	Orosi 70/39/73/42/44

Seven Day Forecast

Monday Mostly clear 48/78

Tuesday Mostly clear 49/80

Wednesday Mostly clear 48/78

Thursday Mostly clear 47/76

Friday Mostly clear 48/75

Two Week Forecast:  March 20 through March 26: The configuration on this model gives roughly a 60% chance of above average precipitation during the period. Temperatures will be near to marginally above average.  

Thirty Day Report: If this model has much credence, rainfall will remain above average, especially in northern and central California, stretching into the interior west. Temperatures however, look to be marginally below average.

Ninety Day Report: This model indicates near to marginally above average rainfall over the next three months. Equal chances are given for temperatures being above or below average.

Winds:  Winds will be generally favorable to around 8 mph through Monday with periods of near calm conditions.

Rain: Expect dry weather for the next week. it appears our next chance for rain will occur around the 23^rd. this is by no means in concrete as of yet due to too much disparity on various models.   

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .90, Parlier, .85, Arvin .83, Delano .88.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 58, Arvin NA, Delano 59  

Average Temperatures: 67/44,  Record Temperatures: 91/31

Heating  Degree Days Season.  1609 -514  varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno 7.04, Monthly  .88

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 5.11, Monthly:  .28

Average Temperature this Month 55.2 -.01  taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1^st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier, 793  Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 6:07.  Sunset, 6:08, hours of daylight, 11:58

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather: 

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  71 /  40 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  70 /  36 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  70 /  45 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  69 /  41 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  70 /  41 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  68 /  44 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  69 /  40 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  68 /  39 /  0.00 /

Rainfall:                                     24hr        2024          %          l.y.               %                  ave              Yearly ave                                                                                                                               

STOCKTON                      0.00   10.94   103   21.04   198    10.62    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   13.69   144   17.42   183     9.50    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   11.80   131   18.58   206     9.03    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    7.46    91    9.62   117     8.24    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    7.04    86   16.41   200     8.22    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    6.35   103   12.85   209     6.14     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.11   106    7.90   164     4.83     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.36   119   13.15   360     3.65     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    2.38   157    0.96    63     1.52     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   10.61   105   12.50   124    10.07    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   150   18.46   187     9.89    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   12.96   122   20.96   198    10.58    13.32