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March 18, 2024

March 18, 2024

Summary Central California remains under a rex block pattern. That is where a low centers over the Desert Southwest and a high develops over the Pacific Northwest and northern California. This creates a north/northeast flow over central California. This off shore flow results in downslope winds off the Sierra Nevada which creates heating and will drive temperatures a good ten to twelve degrees above average. Warmer locations will be near the 80 degree mark. The low over the Desert Southwest will weaken Thursday and will move eastward. In the meantime, a new low will develop off the coast of the Pacific Northwest.  By Friday, a trough will develop from that low southward to off the coast of northern California. By Saturday, showers will spread over at least northern California and possibly further south. Along with this change will come cooler conditions Sunday and Monday. models also indicate there will be another chance of showers later next week, although it’s unclear at this time how much precipitation may develop.

Forecast Mostly clear skies through Thursday night. increasing cloudiness Friday. Mostly cloudy Friday night through Sunday with a chance of showers. Partly cloudy Monday.

Short Term:                                                                                                              

Madera 78/45/79/47/77Reedley 78/46/80/47/78Dinuba 76/45/78/48/78
Porterville 79/45/81/47/79Lindsay 79/44/80/47/79Delano 81/50/82/50/79
Bakersfield 80/53/81/53/80Taft 75/56/76/56/74Arvin 81/50/81/51/79
Lamont 82/51/82/50/79Pixley 78/46/78/47/78Tulare 77/44/78/46/77
Woodlake 78/45/79/46/77Hanford 79/46/80/47/79Orosi 77/44/78/46/78

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday Mostly clear 45/77Friday Increasing clouds 44/75  Saturday Chance of showers 44/74Sunday Chance of showers 43/68Monday Partly cloudy 42/65

Two Week Forecast:  March 25 through March 31: This model indicates a fairly significant trough of low pressure along the west coast. Disturbances will move out of the trough and into California from time to time, resulting in occasional risk of showers and below average temperatures.

Thirty Day Report: If this model has much credence, rainfall will remain above average, especially in northern and central California, stretching into the interior west. Temperatures however, look to be marginally below average.

Ninety Day Report: This model indicates near to marginally above average rainfall over the next three months. Equal chances are given for temperatures being above or below average.

Winds:  Winds will be generally favorable to around 8 mph through Thursday with periods of near calm conditions.

Rain: Expect dry weather through at least Friday. There will be a slight chance of showers Friday night, mainly after midnight. Expect a continuing risk of showers through Sunday night with dry weather returning Monday. models show a predominant trough of low pressure for much of next week with possibly another chance of showers during the latter half of next week.

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .96, Parlier, .91, Arvin .89, Delano .94.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 59, Arvin NA, Delano 59  

Average Temperatures: 68/45,  Record Temperatures: 87/32

Heating  Degree Days Season.  1632 -516  varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno 7.04, Monthly  .88

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 5.11, Monthly:  .28

Average Temperature this Month 55.5 -.0.1  taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier, 793  Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 7:03.  Sunset, 7:10, hours of daylight, 12:05

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather: 

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  74 /  46 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  74 /  47 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  75 /  52 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  76 /  45 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  77 /  43 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  75 /  50 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  75 /  46 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  75 /  45 /  0.00 /

Rainfall:                                     24hr        2024          %          l.y.               %                  ave              Yearly ave                                                                                                                               

STOCKTON                      0.00   10.94   101   21.04   195    10.80    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   13.69   142   17.42   180     9.67    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   11.80   128   18.59   202     9.20    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    7.46    88    9.65   114     8.43    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    7.04    84   16.55   197     8.41    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    6.35   101   12.86   205     6.28     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.11   103    8.84   179     4.94     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.36   118   13.17   356     3.70     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP                  M    2.60   169    0.96    62     1.54     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   10.61   103   12.50   122    10.28    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   147   18.48   182    10.14    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   12.96   120   21.04   194    10.84    13.32