September 22, 2023
Summary Satellite imagery this morning depicts mid and high level clouds moving into southern California from the Kern County mountains southward. These clouds are from former tropical storm Kenneth and will continue to move inland to our south through Saturday night. There is also a low center in northern Nevada this morning which is moving eastward. This will allow a weak ridge of high pressure to move in from the west, resulting in a minor warming trend. Even so, temperatures this weekend will be marginally below average. By Sunday night, a new trough of low pressure will stretch from the Gulf of Alaska to northern California. There will be a moisture feed underneath the low from the eastern Pacific Ocean into the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-third of California. High resolution models indicate as much as 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall over northern California with light showers down to a Bay Area/Sacramento line. Any chance of precipitation for central California will continue to be along the crest of the Sierra Nevada with mostly clear skies continuing over the valley floor. temperatures Monday through Friday of next week will continue to be mostly in the low to mid 80s, however we may drop into the low to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday as a wave of low pressure moves through northern California.
Forecast Mostly clear with occasional high clouds today. Partly cloudy tonight. Mostly clear again Saturday through Monday. mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Monday night through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Friday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 84/54/85/54/87 | Reedley 85/55/86/55/87 | Dinuba 83/53/85/54/85 |
| Porterville 83/54/86/54/87 | Lindsay 83/52/84/53/86 | Delano 84/56/86/56/87 |
| Bakersfield 82/61/85/61/86 | Taft 80/61/82/59/84 | Arvin 83/57/85/57/87 |
| Lamont 83/58/86/58/88 | Pixley 83/55/85/54/86 | Tulare 82/52/84/54/86 |
| Woodlake 84/55/86/55/86 | Hanford 84/55/86/55/87 | Orosi 83/53/85/54/86 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday Partly cloudy 53/85 | Tuesday Partly cloudy 52/83 | Wednesday Mostly clear 53/82 | Thursday Mostly clear 56/85 | Friday Mostly clear 56/86 |
Two Week Outlook: September 29 through September October 5 This model is showing a broad area of low pressure over and along the coast, resulting in below average temperatures. The chance for precipitation will remain extremely low.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion:Winds during the afternoon and early evening will be mostly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Sunday. Winds Sunday night and Monday will increase out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with occasional somewhat lighter winds.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.31, Parlier, 1.23, Arvin 1.37, Delano 1.22.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 76, Arvin 81, Delano 76 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59 Record Temperatures: 104/41
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1963 +229 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 18.02, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 11.34, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 77.6 +1.6 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise ,6:47 Sunset, 6:54. hours of daylight, 12:09
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 80 / 56 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 82 / 58 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 80 / 60 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 81 / 61 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 82 / 56 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / 85 / 64 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 79 / 57 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 79 / 58 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 81 / 57 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 173 9.87 74 13.40 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.20 165 9.08 74 12.23 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.93 178 7.64 65 11.77 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.71 109 2.75 26 10.77 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 18.02 164 6.40 58 10.96 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 15.06 186 6.38 79 8.10 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 11.34 179 5.41 85 6.34 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 16.61 347 6.73 141 4.78 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 3.64 171 2.04 96 2.13 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 111 7.38 59 12.55 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.91 173 9.08 75 12.11 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 24.08 181 9.63 72 13.29 13.32
Next report: September 23
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.