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Forecast

August 11, 2017 report

August 11, 2017

We will be launching a new website tomorrow.  We’re pretty excited about it!  It will be not only be optimized for your computer, but also for tablets and smart phones.  We anticipate the switch will be smooth, but in the event you experience error messages or other difficulties, we will be posting on the front page of our current website some steps you can take to make the switch more smoothly.  Should you continue to have issues, we encourage you to contact us by email at trudy@johnhibler.com or by phone at 573-776-3920. 

 

Summary: The marine layer along the coast has peeled back to 1,800 feet this morning.  There is a minimal amount of marine air trying to sneak through the Delta.  However, no sea breeze is making it through Pacheco Pass, so generally seasonally hot weather will continue through Sunday.  Essentially, we remain trapped between upper level high pressure over the southwestern U.S. and a weak trough of low pressure which is developing along the coast of the Pacific Northwest and northern California.  This will maintain a westerly flow above central California for clear skies indefinitely.

 

On Monday and Tuesday, the trough will dig all the way southward into southern California.  There will not be any weather associated with this system other than a small chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada.

 

Temperatures, especially Monday and Tuesday, will fall into the mid 90s at most locations.  Compared to recent temps, this is almost a cold wave.  By Wednesday, upper level high pressure over the southwest will begin to shift to the west for a warming trend, bringing temperatures back into the upper  90s to the  lower 100s.  for now, I don’t see any chance of the monsoon working its way this far to the west, so clear to mostly clear skies will continue for all of next week.

 

We will be launching a new website tomorrow.  We’re pretty excited about it!  It will be not only be optimized for your computer, but also for tablets and smart phones.  We anticipate the switch will be smooth, but in the event you experience error messages or other difficulties, we will be posting on the front page of our current website some steps you can take to make the switch more smoothly.  Should you continue to have issues, we encourage you to contact us by email at trudy@johnhibler.com or by phone at 573-776-3920. 

 

Forecast:  Clear skies through Monday.  Mostly clear skies can be expected Monday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 99/63/99/63/98 Reedley 100/63/100/63/100 Dinuba 99/64/99/63/99
Porterville 100/63/101/63/100 Lindsay 100/62/100/63/100 Delano 101/66/101/67/100
Bakersfield 102/74/101/73/100 Arvin 102/70/101/69/100 Taft 99/78/101/79/101
Lamont 102/70/101/71/101 Pixley 100/64/100/64/99 Tulare 98/63/99/63/99
Woodlake 100/64/100/64/99 Hanford 101/64/101/63/99 Orosi 99/63/100/64/99

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Mostly clear

62/95

Tuesday

Mostly clear

62/94

Wednesday

Mostly clear

65/97

Thursday

Mostly clear

66/99

Friday

Mostly clear

67/101

 

Two Week Outlook: August 16 through August 22:  This model indicates a trough of low pressure will be off shore during the early part of the period.  It will then form another low over Nevada.  This poses little if any chance of precipitation, but it would maintain a westerly flow with a possibly deep marine layer which would allow temperatures to slide a bit below average.

 

August:  This model shows a significant trough of low pressure east of the Rockies and overall fairly strong high pressure dominating the western third of the U.S.  This should create above average temperatures for the month with a chance of the return of the monsoon from time to time.  Generally, temperatures will be above average with a slight chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

 

August, September, October:  The trend towards above average temperatures shows up once again through at least August and September.  October is more iffy.  As far as precipitation is concerned, conditions will remain near average.  Remember, the real rainfall season doesn’t begin until November so no significant amounts of precipitation are seen at this time.

 

Winds: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 15 MPH afternoons and evenings with generally light winds during the night and early morning hours.  Beginning Sunday, we may see some elevated wind conditions as a trough of low pressure digs southward along the coast.  This does not appear to be anything excessive in nature, but gusts to 20 to 25 MPH are possible Sunday and Monday, especially along the west side.

 

Rain: Expect dry weather for the foreseeable future.

 

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s

Relative Humidity Forecast:  Hanford, 20%/80%  Bakersfield, 20%/55%

Actual Humidity August, 2017: Delano, 87%/21%, Porterville, 85%19%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today 100% tomorrow 100%, Bakersfield: Today 100% tomorrow 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days August 9, 2017: Stratford 1.86, Parlier 1.32, Blackwell 2.00, Lindcove 1.59, Arvin 2.00, Orange Cove 1.85, Porterville 1.48, Delano 1.61, Madera Two 1.57. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available. 

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 83, Blackwell 81, Lindcove 79, Arvin 83, Orange Cove 83, Porterville 83, Delano NA, Madera Two 84

 

Mean Temperatures for August Month So Far: 84.5. +5.3

Record Temperatures: 110/53. Average Temperatures: 98/65

Cooling Degree Days This Season: 1412, +365 Courtesy of the NWS

 

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since August 9, 2017, Fresno: 17.20 season / +5.88 or +5.88, Month to Date: .00

Since August 9, 2017, Bakersfield:  7.88, or 1.72 Month to Date: .00, Water year season is from October 1st through September.

 

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, , Stratford, Madera two, Alpaugh, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville, Hours at 45 or below 45.

 

Sunrise: 6:13 am  Sunset: 7:54 Hours of Daylight: 13:43

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  98 /  64 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  99 /  66 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 100 /  66 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 100 /  65 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 102 /  73 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  97 /  65 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1649 /  98 /  69 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  99 /  64 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1656 /  98 /  68 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  94 /  62 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:

Season        Last year      Average  Annual average

STOCKTON                      0.00   21.78   158   16.69   121    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   16.93   132   15.61   122    12.84    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   16.03   131   14.66   120    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   14.18   121   12.96   110    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   17.20   152   14.29   126    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00   11.05   112    8.26    83     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.82   123    5.43    85     6.36     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    9.18   188    3.88    79     4.89     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   16.45   130   13.47   107    12.64    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   16.14   129    8.06    65    12.47    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   18.44   134    9.00    65    13.79    13.95

Rainfall season from October 1st through September 30th

 

 

Next Report:  Saturday, August 12