November 4, 2017
Summary: Only a few very light showers, probably not even reaching the ground, are moving through San Luis Obispo and Monterey Counties then into Kings County where they disappear from radar. This is all that is left from a dissipating cold front. Still, a moist west/southwest flow aloft will continue tonight through Sunday for a small chance of light showers, mainly from Fresno County northward. On Sunday, another weak trough will drop into northern and, to a lesser extent, central California for the risk of light showers, mainly north of Kern County. All activity will end by Sunday night.
Weak upper level high pressure will build in from the west, putting us on the far eastern side of the ridge which will allow dry weather to continue through at least Wednesday night. Thursday and Friday still seem to be the target dates for the next low to move down the west coast for a chance of showers Thursday into early Friday. it’s still very unclear how far south precipitation will progress, but current thinking is mainly from Fresno northward.
Friday afternoon through next Wednesday appear to be dry now as a flat zone of upper level high pressure takes place off shore and into California with generally a westerly flow aloft. This will keep the storm track mainly up into the Pacific Northwest with dry conditions continuing into the early part of the following week.
Forecast: Mostly cloudy skies through Sunday night. the risk of a few light showers will continue tonight through Sunday, mainly north of Kern County. Mostly to partly cloudy skies Monday morning, clearing Monday afternoon. Mostly clear Monday night through Wednesday with patchy late night and morning fog. Increasing cloudiness Wednesday night with an increasing chance of showers Thursday, mainly from Fresno County northward. A chance of showers Thursday night and early Friday. becoming partly cloudy Friday afternoon. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night.
Short Term:
| Madera 52/63/42/64 | Reedley 51/63/43/64 | Dinuba 50/62/41/63 | |
| Porterville 51/63/42/63 | Lindsay 50/63/42/63 | Delano 53/64/44/64 | |
| Bakersfield 53/65/44/63 | Arvin 51/66/45/63 | Taft 56/65/52/64 | |
| Lamont 53/66/46/62 | Pixley 52/64/43/64 | Tulare 50/62/41/64 | |
| Woodlake 52/63/43/63 | Hanford 52/62/42/63 | Orosi 51/64/41/63 | |
Winds: Winds will be mainly out of the south to southeast at 5 to 15 MPH through Sunday, becoming generally less than 15 MPH Sunday night through Tuesday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Doppler radar is showing very light showers probably not even reaching the ground over Kings and Tulare Counties at this hour. A moist west/southwest flow aloft will continue to threaten scattered light showers through Sunday, although many locations may receive just trace amounts or nothing at all. Dry weather will begin Sunday night and continue through Wednesday night. a deepening trough of low pressure will dig southward Thursday from the Pacific Northwest into northern and central California. Models do show showers down to Fresno County and possibly further south Thursday into early Friday. Conditions for Friday afternoon through early the following week now appear dry as a flat zone of upper level high pressure will move in from the eastern Pacific, keeping the storm track to our north.
Frost Information: No chance of frost for at least the next week and quite possibly longer.
Next Report: Sunday, November 5