November 6, 2018
Summary: The air on the valley floor is somewhat drier with the exception of Tulare County where dew points are in the low to mid 40s. Most locations elsewhere have dew points down into the 30s. The overall weather pattern still shows upper level high pressure centered several hundred miles off the southern California coast with California under a northwest flow aloft. Once we begin to approach the weekend, a big ridge will develop over the eastern Pacific and will begin to move inland with the northern flank over western Canada. This will briefly turn the winds aloft out of the north/northeast. Combine this with an off shore surface flow and slightly cooler conditions can be expected Friday and Saturday.
By Monday, the high will be virtually overhead, allowing daytime temperatures to again rise to above average values through at least midweek. During the latter part of next week, the northern portion of the high over the Pacific Northwest will break down, allowing the storm track to again make a triumphant return into the Pacific Northwest.
None of the medium range models indicate precipitation for the next week to possibly ten days. The two week model this afternoon which goes all the way out to the twentieth shows little change with high pressure over the west and a cold trough east of the Rockies.
Forecast: Outside of occasional high, thin clouds, it will be clear through Friday. Generally clear skies will continue Friday night through Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 39/74/38/71 | Reedley 40/75/39/72 | Dinuba 37/73/37/71 | |
| Porterville 40/75/39/71 | Lindsay 37/74/36/71 | Delano 43/75/42/73 | |
| Bakersfield 49/75/49/73 | Arvin 46/76/45/75 | Taft 55/75/51/73 | |
| Lamont 46/76/45/74 | Pixley 38/74/38/71 | Tulare 39/73/39/70 | |
| Woodlake 38/74/38/71 | Hanford 40/74/40/72 | Orosi 38/74/37/72 | |
Winds: Winds will be at or less than 12 MPH through Friday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week to ten days.
Frost Information: Dew points have lowered over the past 24 hours with most locations now reporting dew points in the 30s. the exception is Tulare County where dew points remain in the low to mid 40s. it’s possible that with this marginally drier air mass, lows the next couple of nights could dip down to 33 to 35 in those traditional cold spots with most other locations ranging between 37 and 42, with milder conditions in Kern County. The surface flow Wednesday night through Friday will become off shore which may mix down even drier air, though this remains to be seen. If there is enough mixing, coldest locations Friday and Saturday could briefly dip into the lower 30s with most locations in the mid 30s to the lower 40s. Beyond that, temperatures will warm early next week. Even so, coldest locations will still drop into the mid to upper 30s. The longer range pattern does not indicate anything that would result in a colder air mass for California at this time.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above freezing tonight.
Next Report: Wednesday morning/November 7