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Forecast

March 14, 2019/pm report

Friday morning’s report will be issued later than usual.  Thank you for your understanding.

 

John and Trudy

March 14, 2019

Summary:  Temperatures this afternoon are running 3 to 8 degrees warmer than this time yesterday while dew points are down a tad and are generally in the low to mid 30s.  above the valley floor, conditions continue to move northward as Blue Canyon at 5,600 feet is 11 degrees warmer than yesterday.  Upper level high pressure along the Pacific coast will continue to slide eastward over the western U.S.  Saturday through Monday, the high will cover the western one-third of the U.S. with a big ridge extending into northwest Canada.  Temperatures will approach 70 as early as tomorrow, climbing into the low to mid 70s as early as Saturday and possibly even the mid to upper 70s Sunday through Tuesday.

 

Beginning the middle of next week, models are still pointing towards a trough of low pressure stretching from the Gulf of Alaska to off the central coast.  This will result in a chance of showers as early as Wednesday with a greater risk Wednesday night and Thursday as the trough splits off over its southern flank and creates its own low pressure system which will move across California Thursday and Thursday night.  dry weather will return Friday and Saturday of next week before a new trough, following a similar path, brings with it at least a chance of light showers Saturday and Sunday.

 

New on models this afternoon is a stronger low off the northern California coast by late Monday of the following week and the following Tuesday.  On paper, anyway, this system would have a better chance of more significant type rains.  The following several days appear dry until the last week in March when the two week model is indicating a fairly high risk of renewed precipitation.

 

Forecast:  Mostly clear skies with occasional high clouds through Tuesday with a warming trend.  Increasing cloudiness Tuesday night.  mostly cloudy Wednesday through Thursday with a chance of showers.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 34/68/39/72 Reedley 34/69/39/73 Dinuba 33/68/37/72
Porterville 34/70/38/73 Lindsay 33/69/38/73 Delano 36/70/38/74
Bakersfield 39/71/43/75 Taft 42/70/44/74 Arvin 35/70/39/75
Lamont 36/70/40/74 Pixley 34/68/39/73 Tulare 33/68/38/72
Woodlake 34/68/37/71 Hanford 36/70/39/73 Orosi 34/69/38/73

 

Winds: Winds late mornings and afternoons will be generally at or less than 12 MPH through Sunday while winds during the night and early morning hours will be less than 7 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Dry weather will continue through Tuesday night.  a chance of showers will begin Wednesday as a trough of low pressure moves through via the Gulf of Alaska.  For now this does not appear to be a large precipitation producer.  Dry weather is now indicated for Friday into Saturday then a new trough will follow a similar path Saturday night and Sunday for a chance of mainly light showers.  New this afternoon on some models is a stronger low which finds itself off the northern California coast Monday and Tuesday followed by several days of dry weather.  The two week  model continues to maintain a reasonable chance of precipitation during the last week of the month, especially from the 24 on.

 

Frost Discussion: All locations will be above 32 degrees, however there may be a few isolated pockets right at 32 degrees for no more than an hour or so.  Most locations will range between 33 and 38 tonight.  Moderation will continue as we move through the weekend with no chance of frost for the next week to possibly ten days.  Nothing on medium range models indicating a pattern conducive for cold weather.    

 

Next report: Friday/March 15