Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

July 1, 2019/report

July 1, 2019

Summary: Whenever you see a persistent trough of low pressure over and off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, you can bet our temperatures will be moderate for the time of year.  And, it appears low to mid 90s will be a good bet through Friday which is marginally below average for the first week in July.  The counterclockwise circulation around the low to our north is maintaining a westerly flow aloft.  At the surface, the flow is on shore, which allows modified marine air to spill through the Delta from time to time.  Currently, winds at Travis Air Force Base are sustained at 21 MPH, gusting to 25.  The only cloud cover we will see this week will be a few high, thin clouds from time to time but  not much else.

 

Beginning Saturday, upper level high pressure off the coast of Baja will expand northward, shutting down the flow of marine air into the valley.  With increasing pressures aloft, temperatures will warm accordingly, possibly into the lower 100s beginning Saturday and lasting through the middle of next week.

 

This weather note:  the second tropical storm of the season, Barbara, is located 850 miles south/southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico and is projected to move west/northwest with no impact on California.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through the Fourth of July.  Mostly clear Friday through Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 92/57/92/58/91 Reedley 93/57/93/58/92 Dinuba 92/57/92/57/91
Porterville 94/57/93/57/93 Lindsay 94/56/93/56/92 Delano 95/61/93/60/93
Bakersfield 95/65/94/64/92 Taft 95/68/94/66/92 Arvin 96/62/94/61/93
Lamont 95/62/94/61/93 Pixley 94/58/93/57/92 Tulare 92/56/92/56/91
Woodlake 93/57/93/57/92 Hanford 94/58/93/58/92 Orosi 93/57/93/56/92

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Thursday

Mostly clear

56/91

Friday

Mostly clear

58/94

Saturday

Mostly clear

62/99

Sunday

Mostly clear

64/101

Monday

Mostly clear

63/100

 

Two Week Outlook: July 8 through July 14:  This model is indicating high pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere building over the Desert Southwest and expanding northwestward into California.  This pattern is conducive for above average temperatures, meaning triple digits.  So far, it looks like the winds aloft will remain southwesterly so dry conditions will prevail.

 

 

July: July, of course, is typically hot and if this model has any credence, it will be hotter than average.  With a dominant Four Corners high and a trough over the middle of the country, usual July dry conditions will prevail.

 

July, August, September: This model is indicating that the western U.S., including California, will experience above average temperatures overall during the mid to late summer period.  Precipitation is expected to be near average, which, of course, is very little and there’s no reason to believe otherwise.

 

Winds:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 8 to 15 MPH with gusts to 25 MPH possible.  Winds during the  night and morning hours will be generally out of the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH with stronger gusts through Thursday.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Afternoon Dew Points Today:  Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/70% at Hanford.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity June 30, 2019: Delano, 76%/25% Porterville, 88%/24%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.06, Parlier 2.01, Blackwell 2.04, Arvin 2.07, Orange Cove 2.15, Porterville 1.98, Delano 1.96. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 78, Blackwell 80, Lindcove, 76, Arvin, 77, Orange Cove 80, Porterville 86, Delano 80

Record Temperatures: 114/53. Average Temperatures: 96/64

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 615 +135

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 78.8 +4.2

Precipitation:  Seasonal total/average/above or below average

Since Oct 1, 2018  Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.54.  Month to Date: .00 -.21

Since Oct 1, 2018,  Bakersfield:  7.80, or +1.45.  Month to Date: .23 +.15

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:44 am  Sunset: 8:22 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:38

Yesterday’s Weather:

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  92 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  93 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1600 /  95 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  95 /  57 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1619 /  96 /  66 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  93 /  63 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /  91 /  62 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  94 /  60 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1700 /  90 /  68 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:  Water year Oct 1st through September 30th

24hr             Season        %            L.Y.               %               Ave.      Ave. yearly total

STOCKTON                      0.00   18.37   134    9.22    67    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00   13.35   104    8.17    64    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00   13.27   109    7.06    58    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00   11.42    97    7.22    62    11.72    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00   11.85   105    6.73    60    11.31    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    9.50    96    4.70    48     9.89    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.80   123    3.95    62     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    8.47   181    1.49    32     4.68     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00   13.80   109    7.15    57    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   14.88   120    9.62    77    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   15.68   114    6.01    44    13.76    13.95

Next report:  Tuesday, July 2