August 16, 2019
Summary: Triple digits will again be widespread throughout the valley today with hottest locations possibly in the 108 to 109 degree range. Most other locations will be between 104 and 107. Strong upper level high pressure is centered just to the southwest of San Diego with another high center over the Four Corners region. The marine layer along the coast remains quite shallow with a depth of 900 feet at Monterey. For the second morning in a row, winds in the Delta are light.
Cooler weather is on the way however, as the main high center drifts further west off the Baja, California coastline. This will allow pressures aloft to begin to weaken as a weak trough of low pressure moves into the interior west. Hottest locations Saturday will still be around the century mark but will drop into the mid 90s Sunday and Monday.
The flow aloft which is currently southwesterly will become westerly Saturday through Monday for a continuation of clear skies. By Tuesday, upper level high pressure will be building over the Desert Southwest with its center over the Four Corners region initially. Most models show the center moving westward into Arizona and southern California by mid week. This will again drive temperatures above the century mark. For now, it does not appear it will be quite as hot as the current heatwave, but stay tuned.
The flow aloft will continue either westerly or southwesterly, so the monsoon will remain well east for at least the next several days.
Forecast: Clear and hot today. Clear with a cooling trend Saturday through Monday. Clear and becoming hot once again Tuesday through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 105/64/98/59/93 | Reedley 107/65/99/60/94 | Dinuba 105/63/99/59/93 |
| Porterville 107/65/100/59/95 | Lindsay 106/64/100/58/95 | Delano 107/67/100/63/95 |
| Bakersfield 107/71/101/67/98 | Taft 106/75/101/70/97 | Arvin 108/68/102/64/98 |
| Lamont 108/68/101/65/98 | Pixley 106/64/100/59/94 | Tulare 105/64/100/59/93 |
| Woodlake 105/64/99/59/94 | Hanford 107/65/100/60/95 | Orosi 105/64/99/58/93 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Monday
Mostly clear 57/93 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 61/97 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 64/101 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 66/103 |
Friday
Mostly clear 66/102 |
Two Week Outlook: August 22 through August 28: Upper level high pressure will be persistent over the Desert Southwest and California. Generally speaking, a dry, southwesterly flow will continue but it is possible the monsoon could affect the Sierra Nevada later in the period. Temperatures will remain above average.
August: This model projects fairly persistent upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest. The monsoon shows up, as it typically does this time of year, but it generally produces little to no precipitation over the valley. The bottom line, temperatures will be marginally above average with typically dry conditions.
August, September, October: The 90 day outlook doesn’t really give strong indicators one way or the other. As far as precipitation is concerned, this model is projecting near average totals for the next three months. This model also projects above average temperatures for much of the western U.S.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH today and tonight. Winds over the weekend will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH with local gusts to 25 MPH, mainly along the west side. Winds Sunday night and Monday will decrease to 5 to 12 MPH.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next week to ten days.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/75% at Hanford. Bakersfield 15%/55%
Actual Humidity range August 15, 2019: Delano, 74%/16% Porterville, 58%/13%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100% Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.84, Parlier 1.82, Blackwell 1.87, Arvin 2.01, Orange Cove 1.99, Porterville 1.89, Delano 1.82. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 79, Blackwell 89, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove 79, Porterville 90, Delano 81
Record Temperatures: 110/53. Average Temperatures: 97/64
Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1394 +264
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for August so far: 81.9 +2.9
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 11.85 season. or +.53. Month to Date: .00 -.00
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 7.80, or +1.44. Month to Date: .00 -.01
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Lindcove, Porterville,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:18 am Sunset: 7:48 pm. Hours of Daylight: 13:33
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 105 / 64 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 107 / 74 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 106 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 105 / 65 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 104 / 65 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1653 / 105 / M / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 103 / 72 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr Season % L.Y. % Ave. Ave. yearly total
STOCKTON 0.00 18.37 134 9.22 67 13.76 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 13.35 104 8.17 64 12.84 13.11
MERCED 0.00 13.27 109 7.06 58 12.20 12.50
MADERA 0.00 11.42 97 7.22 61 11.75 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 11.85 105 6.73 59 11.32 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 9.50 96 4.70 47 9.91 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 7.80 123 3.95 62 6.36 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 8.47 173 3.02 62 4.90 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 13.80 109 7.16 57 12.64 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 14.88 119 9.62 77 12.48 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 15.68 114 6.01 44 13.79 13.95
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Next report: Saturday, August 17