November 4, 2019
Summary: The current weather pattern is about as stable as you’ll ever see. At the upper levels of the atmosphere, a large ridge of high pressure covers the eastern Pacific with a ridge jutting northward into the Gulf of Alaska. At the surface, weak high pressure remains over the Great Basin for a minor off shore flow. Just west of San Diego is an invisible upper low which is contributing to the off shore flow. Otherwise, though, there’s just no weather whatsoever. This feature will move through northwest Mexico Wednesday then dissipate. The air mass remains very dry with daytime highs warming up nicely. Warmest locations beginning today will tease or even surpass the 80 degree mark. The dry air mass will continue to result in strong radiational cooling each night. overnight lows will dip into the 30s.
Medium range models show very little change. A weak disturbance will move through the eastern Great Basin at midweek, but there will be no impact on our weather. Otherwise, the blocking pattern will continue with a big ridge over the eastern Pacific giving no hope for rain for even northern California for the next week to possibly ten days.
Forecast: Clear skies through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 36/78/37/79/37/79 | Reedley 79/36/79/37/79 | Dinuba 77/34/78/35/78 |
| Porterville 80/36/80/37/79 | Lindsay 79/34/79/35/80 | Delano 80/37/80/37/80 |
| Bakersfield 81/51/81/51/80 | Taft 79/53/80/53/80 | Arvin 81/40/81/41/82 |
| Lamont 81/40/81/41/81 | Pixley 79/36/79/37/80 | Tulare 78/34/79/36/79 |
| Woodlake 79/35/79/37/79 | Hanford 79/36/79/37/80 | Orosi 78/34/79/36/79 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Thursday
Mostly clear 41/80 |
Friday
Mostly clear 41/81 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 42/79 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 42/77 |
Monday
Mostly clear 42/77 |
Two Week Outlook: November 9 through November 15: This model does not give much hope for precipitation through mid November. Upper level high pressure will be dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western third of the U.S. for above average temperatures.
November: The greatest possibility of above average temperatures will stretch from Texas westward to southern California with somewhat above average temperatures expected for central California. This model also projects a drier than average month, especially over the northern half of the state.
December, January, February: This model, as it always does, indicates above average temperatures for much of the lower 48, especially over the southwestern U.S. This model also dashes somewhat the hope for a good rainfall season as it shows below average precipitation for the Pacific Northwest and much of California.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost Discussion: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the remainder of the week. For now, longer range models do not indicate a pattern that would result in subfreezing temperatures.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above 32 tonight.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/80% at Hanford. Bakersfield 15%/55%
Actual Humidity range November 3, 2019: Delano, 76%/18% Porterville, 92%/15%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .80, Parlier .71, Blackwell Corner .88, Arvin 1.04, Orange Cove .83, Porterville .71, Delano .70. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 60, Parlier 57, Blackwell 65, Arvin, 57, Orange Cove 60, Porterville 62, Delano 55
Record Temperatures: 86/30. Average Temperatures: 71/44
Heating Degree Days this Season: 140 +11
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for November so far: 54.8 -2.5
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 0.00 season. or -.72. Month to Date: .00 -.09
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 0.00, or -.35. Month to Date: .00 -.05
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove 17, Parlier 23, Arvin 18, Shafter 20, Stratford 17, Delano 21, Lindcove 20, Porterville 25,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:26 Sunset: 4:58 pm. Hours of Daylight: 10:33
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 75 / 37 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 76 / 44 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 79 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 78 / 34 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 77 / 46 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 76 / 37 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1500 / 69 / 39 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1550 / 75 / 51 / M /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr season % last year % Ave. 365 day ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 1.28 132 0.97 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 0.01 1 0.79 13.11
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.96 12.50
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 1.02 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.10 14 0.72 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.04 6 0.65 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.35 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 0.00 0 0.40 118 0.34 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 0.00 0 0.67 99 0.68 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.03 4 0.72 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.00 0 0.35 49 0.71 13.95
Next report: Monday, November 4/pm