November 5, 2019
Summary: I look at various parameters of the atmosphere to try to find things I can talk about under this unusually stable weather pattern we’re under. I feel like I’m grasping at straws. The freezing level taken over Oakland overnight was 13,300 feet while the marine layer has deepened a tad to 1,200 feet. What does this mean? Absolutely nothing. The subtle changes in the atmosphere just do not indicate anything major in our weather through the middle of the month, at least. Currently, we have a large area of upper level high pressure covering the eastern Pacific Ocean with a ridge extending into the Gulf of Alaska. The only other feature to mention is a benign upper low west of the northern Baja coastline which will move inland Wednesday but there will be no impact on our weather. Models pretty much show this same basic pattern for the remainder of the week and into next week. The GFS model continues to hang onto the idea of a cold low dropping into the Great Basin about the 18th while absorbing another low off the California coast. Theoretically, this could result in a chance of showers between the 18th and the 20th. Incidentally, the latest date for Fresno to receive measurable rain is December 12 and that occurred in 1995.
Forecast: Clear skies through Friday. Mostly clear Friday night through Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 80/37/80/38/80 | Reedley 79/37/80/38/79 | Dinuba 78/36/78/37/79 |
| Porterville 81/37/81/38/81 | Lindsay 80/36/80/38/80 | Delano 81/39/81/40/81 |
| Bakersfield 82/52/82/52/81 | Taft 80/54/80/54/81 | Arvin 82/44/82/45/82 |
| Lamont 82/41/82/43/81 | Pixley 81/39/81/40/81 | Tulare 79/37/80/39/80 |
| Woodlake 79/36/79/37/79 | Hanford 80/39/80/40/81 | Orosi 79/37/80/38/80 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Friday
Mostly clear 40/81 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 40/80 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 41/79 |
Monday
Mostly clear 40/79 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 41/77 |
Two Week Outlook: November 12 through November 18: This model does not give much hope for precipitation through mid November. Upper level high pressure will be dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western third of the U.S. for above average temperatures.
November: The greatest possibility of above average temperatures will stretch from Texas westward to southern California with somewhat above average temperatures expected for central California. This model also projects a drier than average month, especially over the northern half of the state.
December, January, February: This model, as it always does, indicates above average temperatures for much of the lower 48, especially over the southwestern U.S. This model also dashes somewhat the hope for a good rainfall season as it shows below average precipitation for the Pacific Northwest and much of California.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Friday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost Discussion: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above 32 tonight.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s. Humidity values ranging from 20%/85% at Hanford. Bakersfield 20%/55%
Actual Humidity range November 4, 2019: Delano, 76%/18% Porterville, 92%/15%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .80, Parlier .71, Blackwell Corner .88, Arvin 1.02, Orange Cove .84, Porterville .71, Delano .71. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 60, Parlier 57, Blackwell 65, Arvin, 58, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 62, Delano 55
Record Temperatures: 90/33. Average Temperatures: 70/44
Heating Degree Days this Season: 145 +7
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for November so far: 56.0 -1.0
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 0.00 season. or -.76. Month to Date: .00 -.13
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 0.00, or -.37. Month to Date: .00 -.07
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove 30, Parlier 40, Arvin 29, Shafter 34, Stratford 31, Delano 36, Lindcove 35, Porterville 46,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:27 Sunset: 4:57 pm. Hours of Daylight: 10:31
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 77 / 41 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 79 / 46 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 80 / 39 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 81 / 37 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 80 / 48 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 79 / 38 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 81 / 41 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1549 / 78 / 53 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 78 / 42 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr season % last year % Ave. 365 day ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 1.28 125 1.02 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 0.01 1 0.83 13.11
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 1.00 12.50
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 1.06 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.10 13 0.76 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.04 6 0.69 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.37 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 0.00 0 0.40 111 0.36 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 0.00 0 0.67 94 0.71 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.03 4 0.75 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.00 0 0.35 47 0.75 13.95
Next report: Tuesday, November 5/pm