Summary: High pressure at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere covers the eastern Pacific off the coast of the Pacific Northwest and California. A very weak upper low is centered west/southwest of San Diego. The counterclockwise circulation around the low and the clockwise flow around the high has the winds aloft out of the east. This is pretty much meaningless as far as the valley’s concerned as the air mass in the lower 1,500 feet of the atmosphere is stagnant. Thus, considerable amounts of haze and smog prevail. This pattern won’t change much through Tuesday night then finally the high will break down, allowing a westerly flow aloft to break through. A weak trough of low pressure will move through California Thursday, however no model indicates a chance of precipitation exists from this trough passage. Temperatures will finally lower to seasonal levels, though. Another wave of low pressure will move through Friday through Saturday. again, models give little chance of any dynamics strong enough to produce precipitation.
Models are at least somewhat interesting for the period beginning about a week from Monday. As an upper high is oriented southwest to northeast builds a ridge into the Canadian Rockies, a low will develop somewhere over the interior west. Theoretically, this could bring colder temperatures to central California and possibly a chance of showers to the Sierra Nevada. For now, we’ll just keep an eye on that as models this far out are not very conclusive.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hazy through Tuesday night. partly cloudy Wednesday. variable cloudiness at times Wednesday night through Saturday with a cooling trend.
Short Term:
| Madera 77/38/76/39/77 | Reedley 78/40/75/39/77 | Dinuba 77/38/75/39/76 |
| Porterville 78/41/77/40/77 | Lindsay 77/40/76/40/78 | Delano 78/43/76/42/78 |
| Bakersfield 79/48/77/49/79 | Taft 77/51/77/50/78 | Arvin 79/44/77/43/79 |
| Lamont 79/43/77/42/79 | Pixley 78/40/77/40/78 | Tulare 77/39/75/39/76 |
| Woodlake 77/39/77/39/78 | Hanford 78/41/76/41/78 | Orosi 77/38/76/40/77 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 41/79 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 44/77 |
Thursday
Variable clouds 47/68 |
Friday
Variable clouds 44/67 |
Saturday
Variable clouds 42/67 |
Two Week Outlook: November 15 through November 21: This model does not give much hope for precipitation through mid November. Upper level high pressure will be dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western third of the U.S. for above average temperatures.
November: The greatest possibility of above average temperatures will stretch from Texas westward to southern California with somewhat above average temperatures expected for central California. This model also projects a drier than average month, especially over the northern half of the state.
December, January, February: This model, as it always does, indicates above average temperatures for much of the lower 48, especially over the southwestern U.S. This model also dashes somewhat the hope for a good rainfall season as it shows below average precipitation for the Pacific Northwest and much of California.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost Discussion: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Lows Tonight:
All locations will be above 32 tonight.
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Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Humidity values ranging from 30%/90% at Hanford. Bakersfield 25%/70%
Actual Humidity range November 8, 2019: Delano, 81%/29% Porterville, 87%/25%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .77, Parlier .70, Blackwell Corner .81, Arvin .85, Orange Cove .81, Porterville .72, Delano .71. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 60, Parlier 58, Blackwell 65, Arvin, 58, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 64, Delano 56
Record Temperatures: 85/33. Average Temperatures: 68/42
Heating Degree Days this Season: 161 -16
Courtesy of the NWS
Average temperature for November so far: 58.4- +2.1
Precipitation: Seasonal total/average/above or below average:
Since Oct 1, 2018 Fresno: 0.00 season. or -.89. Month to Date: .00 -.26
Since Oct 1, 2018, Bakersfield: 0.00, or -.45. Month to Date: .00 -.15
Water year season is from October 1st through September.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove 42, Parlier 64, Arvin 41, Shafter 57, Stratford 46, Delano 54, Lindcove 49, Porterville 75,
Hours at 45 or below 45.
Sunrise: 6:32 Sunset: 4:54 pm. Hours of Daylight: 10:24
Yesterday’s Weather:
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 82 / 40 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 80 / 49 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DHM / M / M / M /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 83 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 80 / 47 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 79 / 41 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 80 / 42 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 78 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: Water year Oct 1st through September 30th
24hr season % last year % Ave. 365 day ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 1.28 103 1.24 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 0.01 1 1.00 13.11
MERCED 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 1.18 12.50
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 1.23 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.10 11 0.89 11.50
HANFORD M 0.00 0 0.04 5 0.87 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.45 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 0.00 0 0.40 95 0.42 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 0.00 0 0.67 77 0.87 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.03 3 0.89 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.00 0 0.35 39 0.90 13.95
Next report: Saturday, November 9/pm