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Forecast

June 10, 2020/report

June 10, 2020

Summary:  Upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific has shifted inland over California.  The marine layer along the coast remains at only 500 feet with no sea breeze moving through the Delta.  Temperatures this afternoon in the hottest locations will push the century mark.  On Thursday, the high will begin to shift into the interior west in response to a large area of low pressure off the coast of British Columbia and the Pacific Northwest.

 

The marine layer will rapidly deepen Thursday, resulting in some cooling from roughly Fresno north.  However the central and south valley will have to wait until Friday as a strong push of marine air surges through the Delta and other gaps and passes along the “Coast Range.  Gusty westerly winds will begin by Thursday evening and will continue on and off through Saturday as the trough moves inland through California.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will spread down the Sierra Nevada Friday but any precipitation will remain generally over the high country.

 

Temperatures will tumble further Saturday as readings drop from near 100 Thursday to the lower 80s Saturday.  By Sunday, the low will be moving into the lower Rockies, allowing a flat zone of high pressure to build in from the west for our next warming trend.  It now appears much of next week will be characterized by weak high pressure off the coast extending inland over California with low pressure remaining over the Pacific Northwest.  This will allow temperatures to rise a bit above average but for now it looks like we won’t be seeing triple digits for the next week.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Saturday.  Mostly clear skies Saturday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 98/58/100/57/86 Reedley 99/59/100/57/87 Dinuba 97/57/99/56/87
Porterville 99/58/100/60/88 Lindsay 98/57/100/59/89 Delano 99/63/101/61/89
Bakersfield 98/67/101/64/90 Taft 97/71/100/68/88 Arvin 100/64/101/64/91
Lamont 99/64/101/62/90 Pixley 98/59/101/58/88 Tulare 97/57/99/57/87
Woodlake 97/57/99/57/88 Hanford 99/59/100/60/89 Orosi 97/57/99/58/88

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Mostly clear

48/82

Sunday

Mostly clear

50/85

Monday

Mostly clear

55/91

Tuesday

Mostly clear

57/94

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/94

 

Two Week Outlook: June 16 through June 22:  This model indicates upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific extending through California will result in somewhat above average temperatures with dry conditions prevailing.

 

June:  The month of June brings us into the dry season for central California.  The chance of rain during the month will be very low on any given day.  This model indicates we can expect above average temperatures for the month.

 

June, July, August:  What can you say about the summer months in the valley except it will be hot and dry.  Of course, this summer will be no exception.  Precipitation will be near average, which is next to none.  This model indicates the next three months will have above average temperatures, but what else is new?

 

Winds Discussion: Winds through Thursday morning will be generally at or less than 12 MPH.  by Thursday evening, winds will be out of the west at 10 to 20 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH possible along the west side, especially along the Interstate 5 corridor.  Winds Friday through Saturday will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 MPH at times with stronger gusts, mainly along the west side.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/80% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 15%/55%

Actual Humidity range June 9, 2020: Delano, 70%/21%, Porterville, 77%/13%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 90%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.25, Parlier 1.89, Blackwell Corner 2.02, Arvin 1.96, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 1.87, Delano 1.83. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 75, Blackwell 83, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 82, Delano 78

Record Temperatures: 106/46. Average Temperatures: 91/58

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 367 +108

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 74.6 +2.0

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.57.  Month to Date: .00 -.10

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.89.  Month to Date: .02 -.02

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:39, Sunset: 8:18 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:38

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  90 /  51 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  90 /  50 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  91 /  59 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  91 /  50 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  93 /  48 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  92 /  56 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  91 /  52 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  92 /  52 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1653 /  88 /  53 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  87 /  54 / 0.00 /

 

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.73    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.88    54   13.35   105    12.77    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.17    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    52   11.42    98    11.68    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    68   11.85   106    11.20    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    97     9.83    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   114    7.80   124     6.31     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    49    8.45   185     4.57     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.16    73   13.80   110    12.59    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.74    13.95

 

 

Next report: June 11/morning