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Forecast

June 12, 2020/report

June 12, 2020

Summary: The marine layer along the coast has deepened from near 1,000 feet yesterday to more than 3,000 feet this morning.  a weak push of marine air is moving through the Delta.  Winds there are out of the southwest sustained at 18 MPH.  At Pacheco Pass, winds are out of the west, sustained at 16 MPH.

 

Currently, there’s roughly a 4 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas.  That will increase rapidly today and tonight as a trough of low pressure moves into northern and central California.  Ahead of the cold front, there is a considerable amount of mid and high level clouds.

 

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop along the Sierra Nevada this afternoon and evening from Kings Canyon northward.  The main impact will be much cooler temperatures this weekend as the valley pools with modified marine air and cooler air moves in aloft.  The low will track northeastward Sunday.

 

Low pressure will remain over and off the coast of the Pacific Northwest Monday through Thursday of next week while a zone of weak upper level high pressure dominates the pattern over California with a weak, dry, westerly flow aloft.  This will be conducive for early summer weather.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Saturday morning.  mostly clear Saturday afternoon through Sunday.  Mostly clear Sunday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 87/51/79/50/85 Reedley 89/51/80/50/86 Dinuba 88/50/79/51/84
Porterville 90/50/80/49/86 Lindsay 90/49/80/48/85 Delano 91/54/80/53/86
Bakersfield 92/58/80/55/86 Taft 89/59/80/57/85 Arvin 92/54/81/53/85
Lamont 92/55/80/54/85 Pixley 90/51/80/51/86 Tulare 89/51/79/49/84
Woodlake 89/50/79/51/84 Hanford 90/51/80/52/86 Orosi 88/49/79/48/84

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Mostly clear

55/93

Tuesday

Mostly clear

56/91

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/94

Thursday

Mostly clear

59/95

Friday

Mostly clear

59/94

 

Two Week Outlook: June 19 through June 25:  This model indicates upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific extending through California will result in somewhat above average temperatures with dry conditions prevailing.

 

June:  The month of June brings us into the dry season for central California.  The chance of rain during the month will be very low on any given day.  This model indicates we can expect above average temperatures for the month.

 

June, July, August:  What can you say about the summer months in the valley except it will be hot and dry.  Of course, this summer will be no exception.  Precipitation will be near average, which is next to none.  This model indicates the next three months will have above average temperatures, but what else is new?

 

Winds Discussion: Winds will increase today out of the west at 10 to 20 MPH.  gusts to 35 MPH are possible along the west side, mainly later this afternoon and tonight.  strongest gusts will be along the Interstate 5 corridor.  Winds Saturday will occasionally be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 MPH, becoming light Saturday night.  Winds will be generally at or less than 12 MPH and mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings Sunday through Monday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s. Humidity values ranging from 30%/80% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 20%/70%

Actual Humidity range June 11, 2020: Delano, 72%/22%, Porterville, 69%/13%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 80% Tomorrow: 90%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.19, Parlier 1.88, Blackwell Corner 2.06, Arvin 1.97, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 1.88, Delano 1.86. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 73, Blackwell 83, Arvin, 74, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 81, Delano 77

Record Temperatures: 106/47. Average Temperatures: 91/58

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 377 +109

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 74.6 +1.9

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.60.  Month to Date: .00 -.12

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.89.  Month to Date: .02 -.02

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:39, Sunset: 8:19 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:39

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 101 /  62 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 100 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 102 /  69 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  99 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 102 /  58 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 101 /  68 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 100 /  61 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 101 /  61 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1650 / 100 /  75 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  99 /  64 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.74    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.88    54   13.35   104    12.78    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.18    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    98    11.69    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    68   11.85   106    11.22    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.85    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   114    7.80   124     6.31     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    49    8.45   184     4.58     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.16    73   13.80   110    12.60    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.74    13.95

 

 

Next report: June 13/morning