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Forecast

June 18, 2020/report

June 18, 2020

Summary: Low pressure has migrated northeastward into southcentral Canada with a weak trough extending southwestward into the parent low in Utah and northeast Nevada.  In the meantime, upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific is slowly building eastward.  Most locations over the higher elevations of the Kern County mountains and the Sierra Nevada are anywhere from 7 to 10 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago.

 

The marine layer along the coast has shrunk back to near 500 feet, according to the U,S. Navy at Monterey.

 

We are heading into what will become a prolonged period of hot weather.  Hottest locations Friday afternoon will be nearing the century mark with most locations in the lower 100s over the weekend.  It’s beginning to appear that the classic Four Corners high, a common summer feature, will set up shop beginning Monday and lasting through at least Thursday.  That high will interconnect with high pressure over the eastern Pacific for triple digit readings through at least Thursday of next week.  A weak low will approach the northern California coast about Friday of next week.  Some models show this system moving inland while others show it remaining off shore due to the high over the Desert Southwest.  So, get ready for summer in the San Joaquin Valley.  This time around,  it will be here to stay awhile.

 

Forecast: Clear skies through Monday.  Mostly clear Monday night through Thursday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 95/57/99/60/100 Reedley 96/57/100/59/100 Dinuba 94/56/98/58/99
Porterville 96/57/99/60/100 Lindsay 95/57/98/58/100 Delano 96/63/100/65/101
Bakersfield 96/69/100/69/101 Taft 95/71/98/72/101 Arvin 96/64/100/67/101
Lamont 95/64/99/66/100 Pixley 94/58/99/62/100 Tulare 94/56/98/59/99
Woodlake 94/56/98/58/99 Hanford 96/60/99/62/101 Orosi 94/56/99/59/100

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Sunday

Mostly clear

62/102

Monday

Mostly clear

63/101

Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/103

Wednesday

Mostly clear

64/103

Thursday

Mostly clear

64/102

 

Two Week Outlook: June 25 through July 1:  This model indicates upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific extending through California will result in somewhat above average temperatures with dry conditions prevailing.

 

June:  The month of June brings us into the dry season for central California.  The chance of rain during the month will be very low on any given day.  This model indicates we can expect above average temperatures for the month.

 

June, July, August:  What can you say about the summer months in the valley except it will be hot and dry.  Of course, this summer will be no exception.  Precipitation will be near average, which is next to none.  This model indicates the next three months will have above average temperatures, but what else is new?

 

Winds Discussion: Through Sunday, winds during the afternoon and evening will be generally out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH.  Winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or less than 7 MPH with periods of  near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Humidity values ranging from 15%/65% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 15%/45%

Actual Humidity range June 17, 2020: Delano, 76%/26%, Porterville, 83%/20%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.15, Parlier 1.95, Blackwell Corner 2.05, Arvin 2.17, Orange Cove 2.05, Porterville 2.00, Delano 1.96. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 74, Blackwell 85, Arvin, 75, Orange Cove 78, Porterville 82, Delano 79

Record Temperatures: 107/50. Average Temperatures: 93/60

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 437 +104

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 74.1 +0.8

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.64.  Month to Date: .00 -.17

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.87.  Month to Date: .02 -.04

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:40, Sunset: 8:21 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:41

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  59 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  87 /  49 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  87 /  59 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  87 /  59 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  88 /  52 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  87 /  60 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  87 /  58 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  87 /  52 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1700 /   M /  63 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  86 /  61 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.75    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.80    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    98    11.71    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    68   11.85   105    11.27    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.88    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   114    7.80   123     6.33     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    49    8.47   183     4.62     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.16    73   13.80   109    12.61    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.75    13.95

 

 

Next report: June 19/morning