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Forecast

July 24, 2020/report

July 23, 2020

Summary:  The current weather pattern is about as quiet as it ever gets.  The features governing our current weather are very weak. There is a very weak trough of low pressure which will actually slide off shore over the weekend.  The shallow intrusion of marine air that lowered temperatures intro the low to mid 90s yesterday will  mix out today for the beginning of a slow warming trend.

 

The monsoon continues to move northward from old Mexico into New Mexico and the eastern half of Arizona.  However, the winds aloft over central California are out of the west/southwest, ensuring there will be no challenges from the south anytime soon.

 

Upper level high pressure currently centered over Texas will shift a bit further towards the west, allowing minor increases in pressure.  This will allow temperatures to lower into the lower 100s Sunday through Tuesday.  For Wednesday through Friday of next week, central California will be sandwiched between a weak trough of low pressure off shore and the typical summertime high over the Four Corners region.  As long as this basic pattern is in place, a very dry southwesterly flow aloft will continue.  We should see minor cooling by Wednesday as the off shore trough moves closer to the coast.

 

Forecast:  Clear skies through Monday.  Mostly clear Sunday night through Friday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 96/63/98/65/101 Reedley 97/63/98/66/101 Dinuba 96/62/97/65/100
Porterville 97/63/98/66/101 Lindsay 97/62/98/65/100 Delano 98/66/99/67/101
Bakersfield 96/70/99/73/102 Taft 96/72/98/74/100 Arvin 98/67/99/68/102
Lamont 97/67/99/69/102 Pixley 97/65/98/67/101 Tulare 96/62/97/65/100
Woodlake 96/63/97/65/100 Hanford 96/63/99/66/101 Orosi 96/62/97/64/100

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Monday

Mostly clear

66/102

Tuesday

Mostly clear

65/101

Wednesday

Mostly clear

64/97

Thursday

Mostly clear

61/95

Friday

Mostly clear

60/94

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 30 through August 5:  Upper level high pressure will be entrenched over the Desert Southwest.  The monsoon will be active over Arizona and possibly even into southern California.  Temperatures under this regime will run marginally above average with no rain expected.

 

August:  Typically, especially this time of year, long range outlooks by NOAA reflect the global warming madness.  This model indicates above average temperatures and largely dry conditions.

 

August, September, October:  Just like the 30 day outlook, this longer range outlook reflects above average temperatures everywhere, including California.  This model does not reflect either above or below average precipitation, although as we head into September we will have to keep a closer eye on the tropics.

 

Winds Discussion: Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 MPH with stronger gusts, mainly along the west side.  Winds Saturday through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 MPH, becoming light and variable during the overnight hours.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Humidity values ranging from 25%/75% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 20%/55%

Actual Humidity range July 23, 2020: Delano, 96%/28%, Porterville, 71%/26%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.98, Parlier 1.90, Blackwell Corner 2.31, Arvin 2.21, Orange Cove 2.04, Porterville 1.98, Delano 1.89. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 78, Parlier 80, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 82, Orange Cove 86, Porterville 83, Delano 77

Record Temperatures: 113/55. Average Temperatures: 99/65

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1017 +213

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for July so far: 80.8 +1.7

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .00 -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.85.  Month to Date: .00 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:00, Sunset: 8:11 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:13

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  93 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  93 /  64 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  94 /  62 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  96 /  58 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  93 /  66 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  91 /  60 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  92 /  60 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  90 /  58 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.76    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.83    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.19    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.75    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.32    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.91    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   123     6.35     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    47    8.47   176     4.80     5.18

SALINAS                       0.02    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.63    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.45    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.78    13.95

 

 

Next report: July 25/morning