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Forecast

August 25, 2020/report

August 25, 2020

Summary:  The pattern we will be under this week is quite typical of late summer.  Strong upper level high pressure continues to bake the Desert Southwest and interior southern California while a weak trough of low pressure lingers off the northern and central California coast.  As is so often the case, we will be between these two forces of nature.  The marine layer is roughly 1,800 feet deep at Fort Ord.  the sea breeze is moving through the Delta as winds at Travis Air Force Base are out of the southwest at 21 MPH.  However, winds further south at Pacheco Pass are dead calm.  Some cooling will be noted over the northern San Joaquin Valley, however the central and south valley will remain in the upper 90s.

 

The monsoon continues to move into the Desert Southwest, however the winds aloft sandwiched between the southwestern high and that weak trough to our northwest will keep winds out of the south/southwest, causing the monsoon to tilt away from central California.  Some models show a stronger trough moving into northern California about Tuesday of next week, however most continue to keep us sandwiched between those two main features.

 

Forecast:  Mostly clear skies through Friday night. Mostly clear Saturday through Tuesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 97/66/97/66/97 Reedley 98/67/97/67/97 Dinuba 97/66/96/65/96
Porterville 99/67/98/66/98 Lindsay 99/66/98/65/97 Delano 99/69/98/67/98
Bakersfield 100/74/98/74/98 Taft 99/75/98/74/98 Arvin 100/69/99/68/98
Lamont 100/70/99/69/98 Pixley 99/67/97/67/97 Tulare 97/66/96/65/97
Woodlake 98/67/97/66/97 Hanford 98/68/97/67/97 Orosi 97/65/96/65/97

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Friday

Mostly clear

65/100

Saturday

Mostly clear

65/99

Sunday

Mostly clear

64/97

Monday

Mostly clear

63/98

Tuesday

Mostly clear

64/99

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 31 through September 6:  This model indicates a dominant ridge of high pressure will be along the west coast for, what else, above average temperatures.  The flow aloft is projected to be mainly southwesterly for dry conditions.

 

September:  This model is indicating basically the western half of the United States will have above average temperatures, continuing the trend of the summer season into the early fall.  This model shows near average precipitation, which is minimal at best anyway.

 

September, October, November:  This model always indicates above average temperatures for the western U.S. and this time around is no exception.  As we head into the autumn season this model is indicating there will be equal chances of above or below precipitation.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds through Friday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 60s.  Kern: Upper 50s to the lower 60s.

Actual Humidity range August 24, 2020: Delano, 80%/30%, Porterville, 86%/34%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 70%.  Bakersfield: Today: 70% Tomorrow: 70%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.61, Parlier 1.42, Blackwell Corner 1.64, Arvin NA, Orange Cove 1.60, Porterville 1.45, Delano 1.45. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 78, Parlier 81, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 80, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 79, Delano 77

Record Temperatures: 110/52. Average Temperatures: 96/62

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1610 +363

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for August so far: 83.4 +4.7

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or -.  7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .T -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Fresno, 7.63 -3.69. 7.20, or +.84.  Bakersfield, 7.20 +.82. Month to Date: .T -.03

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:26, Sunset: 7:35 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:11

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  99 /  68 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  99 /  70 /    T /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 101 /  76 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 101 /  70 /    T /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 109 /  69 /    T /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DHM    /  91 /  77 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 100 /  70 /    T /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1626 / 100 /  74 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 101 /  71 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /   M /  73 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   133    13.77    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.85    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.76    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.33    11.50

HANFORD                          T    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.92    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   122     6.38     6.47

BISHOP                           T    2.25    45    8.47   171     4.95     5.18

SALINAS                          M       M     M       M     M        M    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.47    92   14.88   119    12.52    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.66    77   15.68   114    13.80    13.95

 

Next report: August 26/morning