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  • December 5, 2023 afternoon… December 5, 2023 Summary:   Relatively strong upper level high pressure has shifted further east and is now centered over northern Arizona while a trough of…
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  • December 1, 2023 report December 1, 2023                                                                      Summary:   A fast moving trough of low pressure moved through central California overnight. The only location I could find with measurable rainfall…
Forecast

October 28, 2020/report

 

October 28, 2020

Summary: Temperatures continue to recover with the exception of overnight lows.  Even though dew points are now basically back in the 30s, the pool of air now trapped on the valley floor is now dry enough to allow overnight lows to drop to somewhat below average.  The coldest ag stations I could find as of 6:00am was Exeter at 34 while Ivanhoe and Maricopa were sitting at 35.  The air aloft also continues to warm as the freezing level over Oakland this morning was 13,900 feet.

 

Surface high pressure remains over the Great Basin, although it is not as strong, thus the off shore flow also continues.  Winds along the summit of the Sierra Nevada are out of the east/northeast generally ranging 10 to 20 MPH.  The current pressure reading at Salt Lake City stands at 30.25 inches of Mercury while LAX was reporting 30.08, illustrating the off shore flow.  At the upper levels of the atmosphere, relatively strong upper level high pressure is just off the Oregon/northern California coast.  That big cold low has shifted eastward into northern Texas.

 

The off shore high will continue to build inland over the  next 72 hours, allowing temperatures on the valley floor to eclipse the 80 degree mark through the weekend even though a weak upper air feature will move through southern California late Saturday and Sunday.  It still appears a weak trough will move through here next Tuesday for a minor cooling trend, but little else.  Some models are showing wet weather in California between November 7 through the 10.

 

Forecast: Clear skies through Sunday.  Mostly clear Sunday night through Wednesday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 80/40/81/41/82 Reedley 81/39/82/41/82 Dinuba 79/38/80/40/81
Porterville 81/39/82/41/83 Lindsay 81/39/81/41/82 Delano 81/43/82/43/83
Bakersfield 81/51/82/52/83 Taft 80/56/81/56/82 Arvin 81/45/82/45/83
Lamont 80/45/82/47/83 Pixley 80/41/82/42/83 Tulare 79/38/81/40/81
Woodlake 79/38/80/40/82 Hanford 81/42/82/43/83 Orosi 79/38/80/40/81

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Saturday

Mostly clear

42/83

Sunday

Mostly clear

44/84

Monday

Mostly clear

45/83

Tuesday

Mostly clear

43/80

Wednesday

Mostly clear

43/77

 

Two Week Outlook:  November 3 through November 9:  This model flips us back into more of an amplified pattern with high pressure over the west and a colder trough east of the Rockies.  Therefore, rain appears unlikely during this period with a return to above average temperatures.

 

October:  This model essentially depicts the entire lower 48 with above average temperatures over the next 30 days.  The most pronounced temperature anomalies will be over the Desert Southwest.  This model also suggests there will be an equal chance of above or below average precipitation.

 

October, November, December:   This model reflects the influence of La Nina.  It paints above average temperatures over much of the country, especially the Desert southwest, and to a lesser extent, central California.  Drier than average conditions are anticipated over southern California while northern California could possibly luck out with near average rainfall.  Above average precipitation is expected over the Pacific Northwest.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds will be generally at or less than 10 MPH and variable during the day.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be generally less than 5 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Air Quality Expectations: With the tremendous amount of smoke over the valley floor, the San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District has issued the following warning(s) for October 28, 2020:

 

Today’s air quality is listed as moderate for the entire valley with the exception of Kings County.  The air quality in Kings County is deemed unhealthy for sensitive groups. 

 

The District’s Real-time Air Advisory Network (RAAN) can be used to track air quality at any Valley location by visiting myRAAN.com.  The option to use a specific address is available.

 

For more information on wildfires affecting the Valley’s air, visit: http://www.valleyair.org/wildfires

 

In addition, anyone can follow air quality conditions by downloading the free “Valley Air” app on their mobile device

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 40s. Low to mid 40s.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 98%/20%, Porterville, 89%/18%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .90, Parlier .70, Blackwell Corners .82, Arvin .89, Orange Cove .76, Porterville .61, Delano .73. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 67, Parlier 66, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 69, Orange Cove 72, Porterville 69, Delano 62

Record Temperatures: 89/33. Average Temperatures: 74/46

Heating Degree Days This Season: 23,  -55

 

Courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for September So Far: 69.7 +5.3

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  .00,  -.50  Month to Date: .00,  -.50

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  .00, +or-  -.23.   Month to date .00,  -.23

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 7:20   Sunset: 6:04 pm   Hours of Daylight:  10:47

 

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  73 /  42 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  72 /  42 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  72 /  47 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  73 /  40 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  72 /  36 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  75 /  47 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  73 /  40 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  75 /  41 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  72 /  41 / 0.00 /

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.64    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.54    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.59    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.63    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.50    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.37    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00       T     0    0.00     0     0.23     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.25     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00       T     0    0.00     0     0.46    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.49    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    0.00     0    0.00     0     0.46    13.95

 

 

Next report: October 29, 2020