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Forecast

February 18, 2021/update

February 18, 2021

Summary: currently, there is a weak weather system racing through the Pacific Northwest.  High pressure off shore will efficiently keep central  California high and dry.  Light showers have spread over roughly the northern ¼ of California and down the Sierra Nevada to roughly Lake Tahoe.  Another weather system, which is somewhat stronger, is rapidly moving out of the northeast Pacific and will be just off the northwest coast of California Friday night.  it will race into the Great Basin Saturday.  light precipitation will spread southward to roughly a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line later Friday night and Saturday with some showers possibly spreading down the Sierra Nevada to Kings Canyon National Park.

 

The most noteworthy part of this system will be sharp differences in pressure between northern California and the Desert Southwest Friday night and Saturday.  winds will increase out of the northwest generally into the 15 to 25 MPH range with gusts to 35 MPH possible, mainly along the west side.  This same push of northwesterly winds are lifted when they come up against the valley facing slopes of the Kern County mountains and the southern Sierra Nevada, forming our old friends the upslope clouds.  Those clouds will blanket Kern County and much of Tulare County Friday night through Saturday morning.  it’s possible some of these clouds may linger into Sunday morning, especially in Kern County.

 

Sunday through Friday will be dominated by a flat zone of high pressure off shore.  The storm track will move into the Pacific Northwest.  Models are still indicating we’re in for a major change next weekend, however exactly what kind of change is still up in the air, no pun intended.

 

 

Forecast: partly cloudy tonight and Friday morning.  becoming mostly cloudy late Friday through Saturday.  remaining mostly cloudy in southeastern Tulare and Kern Counties Saturday afternoon into early Sunday with partly cloudy skies elsewhere.  Otherwise, mostly clear Sunday through Thursday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 34/65/41/61 Reedley 34/67/40/62 Dinuba 33/66/41/61
Porterville 33/68/42/60 Lindsay 32/67/40/60 Delano 34/68/42/62
Bakersfield 41/68/47/59 Taft 47/64/49/66 Arvin 38/70/43/60
Lamont 35/68/43/59 Pixley 33/67/41/60 Tulare 32/65/41/59
Woodlake 33/65/40/59 Hanford 34/67/42/60 Orosi 32/64/41/58

 

Winds: Winds will be light tonight and through Friday morning, mainly out of the southeast.  Late Friday through Saturday evening, winds will increase out of the northwest, averaging 15 to 25 MPH at times.  Local gusts to 35 MPH are possible, mainly in western Fresno and Kings Counties, but locally elsewhere.  Winds will decrease Saturday night, becoming light after midnight.  Winds Sunday will be variable to  no more than 10 MPH.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week to ten days.

 

Frost: Temperatures this afternoon have moved into the low to mid 60s.  Dew points, however, are generally lower and range in the low to mid 30s with some locations in Kern County down into the 20s.  Somewhat of an increase in cloud cover tonight should mitigate the lower dew points with another night generally in the low to mid 30s.  Expect the usual cold spots to dip to 30 to 31 or so.  All locations will be above freezing Saturday morning due to cloud cover and wind conditions.  The air mass swinging in behind Saturday’s system is similar in character to what we have now, meaning low 30s in the frost pockets will be again possible Sunday and Monday mornings.  The remainder of the week will see above freezing temperatures.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

Af

Ivanhoe

32

Woodlake

32

Strathmore

Af

Mcfarland

Af

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

Af

Lindsay

32

Exeter

32

Famoso

Af

Madera

Af

Belridge

31

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

Af

Orosi

32

Orange cove

32

Lindcove

Af

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

30

Root Creek

32

Venice Hill

Af

Rosedale

Af

Jasmine

Af

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

Af

Mettler

Af

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Creek

Af

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

Af

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

Next update:  February 19/am