February 28, 2021
The surface off shore flow configuration this morning has generated some locally gusty south to southeast winds at a few locations near the base of the Tehachapi Mountains. At last report, winds at the CHP office at the bottom of the Grapevine were sustained at 20 MPH, gusting to35 MPH. these same downslope breezes heat by compression and will temperatures to near the 70 degree mark today, especially in Kern County.
A new pattern is beginning to evolve over the eastern Pacific. An elongated trough of low pressure is stretching from the Gulf of Alaska to well west of the Oregon coastline. This trough will pinch off, forming a closed low circulation well off the central coast by Monday night. most models show this system evolving more slowly than earlier projections and a bit further south as it moves through the southern part of the state Wednesday into early Thursday. Sprinkles will be possible over Kern County, however nothing measurable is anticipated.
Behind this system will essentially be a zonal or westerly flow across the eastern Pacific with the storm track remaining well to the north of central California for the remainder of the week. Models for next week are very inconclusive at this time, but there is no signature that would suggest precipitation for now.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday. Partly cloudy Tuesday night through Wednesday night. mostly clear Thursday through Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 66/34/72/35/72 | Reedley 68/34/72/35/72 | Dinuba 65/33/71/34/71 |
| Porterville 68/33/73/35/73 | Lindsay 67/32/73/34/72 | Delano 69/33/73/35/72 |
| Bakersfield 70/40/74/41/73 | Taft 67/46/71/46/70 | Arvin 70/36/75/38/74 |
| Lamont 70/36/74/37/72 | Pixley 69/33/72/35/72 | Tulare 66/32/71/34/71 |
| Woodlake 66/32/72/35/71 | Hanford 68/33/73/35/70 | Orosi 66/32/72/34/71 |
Seven Day Forecast:
| Wednesday
Partly cloudy 39/68 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 40/67 |
Friday
Mostly clear 40/71 |
Saturday
Partly cloudy 44/68 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 41/70 |
Two Week Outlook: March 7 through March 13: This model is actually depicting a pattern conducive for above average precipitation. A cool northwest flow will prevail during this time frame, keeping temperatures below average.
March: This model indicates the Pacific Northwest and northern California will have below average temperatures for the month while just the opposite will be true for southern California and the Desert Southwest. Central California is between these two zones, theoretically experiencing near average temperatures and drier than average conditions.
March, April, May: As usual, this model shows California and most of the country with above average temperatures. This same model indicated pretty much the same for the current month of February which will go down as one of the coldest February on record. Precipitation over the next 90 days should run below average.
Winds Discussion: Over the next few hours, winds near the base of the Tehachapi Mountains will be out of the south to southeast at 10 to 20 MPH in isolated locations with local gusts to 35 MPH. elsewhere, from today through Wednesday, winds will be variable to no more than 12 MPH late mornings and afternoons and at or less than 6 MPH nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: A few sprinkles will be possible in Kern County Wednesday and Wednesday night, otherwise this upcoming week will be dry. For now, there’s nothing on medium range models suggesting a pattern resulting in precipitation.
Frost Discussion: Fowler, Orange Cove, and Lindsay dropped down to 29 degrees this morning as of 6:30 with all other locations in the low to mid 30s. For tonight, expect most locations to be 1 to 3 degrees warmer with further modification Tuesday morning. a new pattern is setting up this week which will result in a westerly flow aloft. This will favor higher dew points with above freezing conditions Wednesday through the remainder of the week.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
Af |
Woodlake
32 |
| Strathmore
Af |
mcFarland
af |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
32 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root Creek
31 |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Afternoon Dew Points Today: Upper 20s to the lower 30s. Mid teens to the lower 20s.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 83%/33% Porterville, 91%/32%
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 1.00, Parlier .83, Arvin .93, Orange Cove .81, Porterville .83, Delano .84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 53, Parlier 53, Blackwell 52, Arvin, 57, Orange Cove 55, Porterville 56, Delano 49.
Record Temperatures: 79/28. Average Temperatures: 65/41
Heating Degree Days This Season: 1787. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Average Temperature for this month So Far: 52.0 +1.7 courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.11, or -2.51 or 68% of average. Month to Date: .29 or -1.67
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 1.81, +or- -2.51 or 42% of average. Month to date .09 or -1.11
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1118, Arvin, 875, Belridge, 1020, Shafter, 1000, Stratford, 1073, Delano, 1147, Porterville, 1097
Hours at 45 or below 45. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise: 6:29 am Sunset: 5:54 pm Hours of Daylight: 11:22
Yesterday’s Weather
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1600 / 65 / 40 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1600 / 64 / 39 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 65 / 43 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1600 / 66 / 44 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1600 / 67 / 39 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 64 / 38 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1600 / 63 / 40 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1600 / 63 / 32 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1551 / 62 / 45 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 6.86 69 5.27 53 9.93 14.06
MODESTO 0.00 6.38 71 3.92 44 8.99 13.11
MERCED 0.00 5.92 71 0.00 0 8.37 12.50
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 8.23 12.02
FRESNO 0.00 5.11 67 0.00 0 7.62 11.50
HANFORD 0.00 3.05 45 0.00 0 6.84 10.10
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 1.81 42 0.00 0 4.32 6.47
BISHOP 0.00 1.61 46 1.32 38 3.49 5.18
SALINAS 0.00 4.73 53 5.99 67 8.92 12.83
PASO ROBLES 0.00 5.96 67 6.61 74 8.91 12.78
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.08 63 4.79 49 9.69 13.95
Next report: March 1/am