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March 8, 2021/report

Illness hit the Hibler household hard.  We greatly appreciate your patience.


March 8, 2021

A relatively strong push of  northwest air has formed upslope clouds against the Sierra Nevada and Kern County mountains.  It will take a while for these clouds to finally burn off.


From there, we turn our attention to a very cold low centered west of the Washington coastline this morning.  this storm could potentially create a great deal of weather news over central California beginning Tuesday afternoon.  The center of the storm will slide slowly southward along the northern California coast Tuesday.  The counter clockwise circulation pattern around the low will spread precipitation inland from time to time.  Rain will become likely at times Tuesday night through Wednesday night.  on Wednesday, the pool of coldest and most unstable air will be directly above central California.  The strong mid March sun will destabilize the air mass even more for potentially locally heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening.  As we all know, these spring thunderstorms are freq uently accompanied by small hail and heavy rain.


If you are planning on traveling into southern California or points beyond anytime Wednesday, be advised snow will fall below pass levels.  by midday Thursday will high will be shifting into the Desert Southwest.  A few lingering showers may hang around the mountain areas through Thursday.  From Friday through Sunday, a ridge of upper level high pressure will orient from southwest to northeast into the Pacific Northwest and northwestern California, ensuring a dry weather with a moderate warming trend.


Forecast:  Partly cloudy today.  Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy tonight.  increasing cloudiness Tuesday morning. leading to a chance of showers Tuesday afternoon.  Periods of rain Tuesday night through Wednesday night with a chance of isolated thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Any thunderstorms will be accompanied by small hail and heavy rain.  A chance of a few showers Thursday morning, mainly in Kern County, otherwise it will be partly cloudy.  Mostly cloudy in Kern County and southeast Tulare County Thursday night and Friday morning, otherwise it will be partly cloudy.  Mostly clear Friday afternoon through Saturday night.  partly cloudy Monday.


Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 65/38/61/41/58 Reedley 64/39/61/41/57 Dinuba 63/37/61/40/57
Porterville 66/39/61/42/58 Lindsay 64/37/61/41/58 Delano 65/39/61/41/57
Bakersfield 66/43/61/42/56 Taft 64/43/61/47/58 Arvin 66/40/41/46/57
Lamont 66/40/61/43/56 Pixley 65/38/62/41/57 Tulare 64/37/61/40/57
Woodlake 67/39/65/38/65 Hanford 68/39/66/37/64 Orosi 67/37/66/36/65


Seven Day Forecast:


Am showers



Partly cloudy



Mostly clear



Mostly clear



Partly cloudy



Two Week Outlook:  March 13 through March 19:  This model indicates that in all likelihood a dry weather pattern will return.  With upper level  high pressure in charge, temperatures will rise to marginally above average.


March: This model indicates the Pacific Northwest and northern California will have below average temperatures for the month while just the opposite will be true for southern California and the Desert Southwest.  Central California is between these two zones, theoretically experiencing near average temperatures and drier than average conditions.


March, April, May: As usual, this model shows California and  most of the country with above average temperatures. This same model indicated pretty much the same for the current month of February which will go down as one of the coldest February on record.  Precipitation over the next 90 days should run below average.


Winds Discussion:  winds today will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 MPH.  local gusts to 30 MPH will be possible this afternoon.  Winds will becoming light overnight.  Winds Tuesday will be mainly out of the southeast at 10 to 20 MPH at times with stronger gusts.  Winds Tuesday night and Wednesday will be mainly out of the east to southeast at 10 to  20 MPH at times.  Winds Wednesday night and Thursday ill be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 MPH with stronger gusts, diminishing Thursday night.


Rain Discussion:  The chance of showers will begin to increase, especially from Fresno County northward, Tuesday afternoon.  Rain at times will become likely Tuesday night thorough Wednesday night



Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening which will be accompanied by localized heavy rain and small hail.  The low will weaken and  move through Southern California Thursday morning, bringing the chance of rain to an end.


Rainfall amounts from this event could be pretty significant but will vary widely from location to location.  Precipitation amounts north of Kern County towards the center and east side should range between .25 and .50 with generally .10 to .25 along the west side.  The valley portion of Kern County could pick up anywhere from a tenth to a third of an inch.  Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Locations in the paths of these storms could pick up as much as ,50 along with small hail. The precipitation will begin to wind down Wednesday night with dry weather returning Thursday.  After this event, dry weather will continue through the weekend and at least through the middle of next week.


Frost Discussion: A very cold low pressure system will be moving over central California late Tuesday through Wednesday night.  clouds, wind conditions, and unsettled weather will keep temperatures above freezing through Thursday morning.  As the low pulls off into the Desert Southwest Thursday and Friday, where skies clear could potentially drop into the lower 30s Friday and Saturday mornings.  Most locations, however, will range in the upper 30s to the lower r40s.  the air mass will modify quickly over the weekend for above freezing temperatures Sunday and beyond.


Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 93%/42%  Porterville, 91%/43%


Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 50%, tomorrow 20%.  Bakersfield: Today: 40% Tomorrow: 30%


ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:.  Stratford .95, Parlier .83, Arvin .96, Orange Cove .84, Porterville .87, Delano .86. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available


Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 54, Parlier 54, Blackwell 52, Arvin, 56, Orange Cove 56, Porterville 58, Delano 50.

Record Temperatures: 84/29. Average Temperatures: 66/42

Heating Degree Days This Season: 1878.  Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 53.9 +0.1 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.11,  or -3.08 or 62% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -.50

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  1.81, +or-  -2.85 or 39% of average.  Month to date  .00 or -.30

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 982, Parlier, 1128,  Arvin, 882, Belridge, 1029, Shafter, 1008, Stratford, 1082, Delano, 1157, Porterville, 1108

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 6:18 am   Sunset: 6:01pm   Hours of Daylight:  11:40


Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1600 /  67 /  35 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1600 /  65 /  33 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1600 /  64 /  43 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1600 /  65 /  41 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1600 /  66 /  37 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1600 /  60 /  44 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1600 /  62 /  39 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1600 /  62 /  37 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1553 /  59 /  45 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  65 /  40 / 0.00 /


Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    6.92    65    5.43    51    10.57    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.38    66    3.92    41     9.62    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    5.92    65    0.00     0     9.06    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    1.19    13       M     M     8.93    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    5.11    62    0.00     0     8.19    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    3.05    41    0.00     0     7.43    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    1.81    39    0.00     0     4.66     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    1.61    44    1.32    36     3.68     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    4.78    50    6.04    63     9.58    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    5.98    62    6.63    68     9.68    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.08    58    4.88    46    10.50    13.95


Next report: March 8/pm