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Forecast

May 8, 2021/report

May 8, 2021

A trough of low pressure continues to stretch from British Columbia southward into the Desert Southwest.  Surface pressure remains much higher over Oregon and northern California than over southern Nevada.  The current altimeter reading at Medford, Oregon is 30.36 inches of mercury while at Las Vegas the reading is currently 29.74.  This will mean gusty winds will continue, especially over higher elevations, but even on the valley floor winds will continue out of the northwest occasionally gusting to more than 20 MPH, especially along the west side.  A northwest flow aloft will continue between the trough over the interior and upper level high pressure off shore.  That high will slowly begin to build inland by late Monday and will dominate our weather through at least Friday of next week for much above average temperatures, especially Wednesday through Friday when readings could tease with the century mark.

 

Most medium range models show a weak trough moving through California next weekend for what could be our next cooling trend.  The two week model is also indicating low pressure over the west for possibly below average temperatures, bucking the trend of recent weeks.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday.  Mostly clear Tuesday night through Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 85/52/86/54/90 Reedley 85/51/87/53/89 Dinuba 84/50/87/53/88
Porterville 85/51/87/53/90 Lindsay 85/50/87/52/90 Delano 86/52/88/54/91
Bakersfield 85/60/87/61/90 Taft 84/64/86/66/87 Arvin 85/58/87/59/89
Lamont 85/58/87/59/90 Pixley 85/51/88/53/90 Tulare 84/51/87/53/89
Woodlake 85/51/87/53/90 Hanford 85/53/87/54/90 Orosi 85/50/87/51/89

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

55/92

Wednesday

Mostly clear

57/97

Thursday

Mostly clear

59/99

Friday

Mostly clear

57/97

Saturday

Mostly clear

55/88

 

Two Week Outlook:  May 15 through May 21: This model is depicting a trough of low pressure over the eastern Pacific and the western 1/3 of the US, dropping temperatures below average.  No precipitation is expected.

 

May:  The old familiar 30 day outlook indicates above average temperatures for the western US including California.  Since we’re now entering the dry season, expect precipitation to be almost nonexistent.

 

May, June, July: If you go by the guidance of this model, temperatures as we move into the summer months will be hotter than average.  Expect typically dry weather.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds through Sunday will be generally out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 MPH with local gusts over 20 MPH possible, mainly along the west side.  Winds Sunday night through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 8 to 15 MPH and generally light and variable during the night and morning hours with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next seven to ten days, at least.

 

Frost Discussion: All locations will be above 32 degrees for at least the next seven to ten days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Low to mid 30s. Upper 20s to the lower 30s.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 68%/18%  Porterville, 80%/18%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:.  Stratford 2.09, Parlier 1.83, Arvin 1.88, Orange Cove 1.94, Porterville 1.77, Delano 1.77. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 66, Parlier 72, Arvin, 70, Orange Cove 72, Porterville 78, Delano 70.

Record Temperatures: 101/39. Average Temperatures: 81/56

Cooling Degree Days This Season:.  75 +8 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 72.0 +5.6 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.59  or -3.78 or 64% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -12

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,  2.77, +or-  -3.32 or 46% of average.  Month to date  .00 or -.08

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    , Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 5:58 am   Sunset: 7:53  Hours of Daylight:  13:56

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1600 /  80 /  51 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  81 /  54 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  82 /  58 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1600 /  83/   55 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  84 /  51 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  83 /  59 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  83 /  56 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  83 /  53 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1651 /  81 /  60 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  80 /  54 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    7.88    61    7.99    62    12.85    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    7.12    62    6.86    59    11.57    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.00    62       M     M    11.25    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.24    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.59    64       M     M    10.37    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.29    55       M     M     7.74     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    2.77    45       M     M     6.09     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    1.62    39    2.25    54     4.17     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    5.74    47    9.00    74    12.15    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    6.74    57   11.34    97    11.74    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.86    53   10.39    81    12.90    13.32

Next report: May 10/AM