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Forecast

August 24, 2021/report

Tomorrow is chemo day for John, so we know we won’t be issuing a report.  Sometime after this round, John’s oncologist will schedule another PET scan to get an idea of how the tumor is responding.  We’ll keep you in the loop.  Thanks for your continued prayers and good thoughts. 

 

August 24, 2021

A broad area of low pressure continues to extend from western Canada southwestward into central California while strong  upper level high pressure is centered over Texas.

 

As the week wears on, the high over Texas will expand into the Desert Southwest, bringing monsoonal moisture back into the picture.  The winds aloft over southern California will become light and variable.  By this coming Sunday, the high will extend from the Rockies westward over  California.  This will result in a significant warming trend beginning Friday.  There are strong differences in model information on how far north the monsoonal moisture will progress.  My feeling is that, by Monday, the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms will increase over the southern Sierra Nevada.

 

As the high builds over California, triple digit temperatures will begin…possibly as early as Sunday but for sure by Monday.

 

The marine layer this morning is 2,000 feet deep.  This will aid in cooling Merced County north, however, pressure differences between the coast and the interior are not strong enough to tug that sea breeze down the valley.

 

Forecast:   Clear skies through Sunday.  Mostly clear Sunday night through Tuesday with occasional high clouds.

 

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 91/57/93/58/97 Reedley 92/57/93/58/97 Dinuba 91/56/92/58/96
Porterville 93/57/94/58/96 Lindsay 92/56/93/57/97 Delano 93/59/94/61/97
Bakersfield 92/67/93/58/97 Taft 93/66/94/68/96 Arvin 93/65/93/65/97
Lamont 92/62/93/65/97 Pixley 91/59/93/58/96 Tulare 91/56/92/58/95
Woodlake 91/57/92/58/95 Hanford 93/59/93/59/96 Orosi 91/57/94/58/96

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Friday

Mostly clear

61/97

Saturday

Mostly clear

61/99

Sunday

Mostly clear

65/100

Monday

Mostly clear

65/100

Tuesday

Mostly clear

67/102

 

Two Week Outlook:  August 31 through September 6:  this model indicates the monsoon will return to southern California.  Afternoon and evening thunderstorms can be expected over the Desert Southwest and southern California during this period.  Temperatures will trend back to above average.

 

September:  This model indicates high pressure will be dominant over the desert southwest and California.  The chance for precipitation will remain very low.  Temperatures will be marginally above average.

 

September, October, November: If this model has any credence, the dominant pattern of the summer will continue.  Expect temperatures to be marginally above average as we head into fall.  Precipitation will generally be below average, although the chance will begin to increase as we head into November.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds during the afternoon and early evening hours will be mainly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 MPH.  Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 66%/28%  Porterville, 82%/28`%,  Dew Points: Hanford, low to mid 50s.  Bakersfield: Low to mid 50s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 1.60, Parlier 1.59, Arvin 1.92, Orange Cove 1.68, Porterville 1.43, Delano 1.62. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 80, Arvin, 78, Orange Cove NA, Porterville NA, Delano 75.

Record Temperatures: 112/51. Average Temperatures: 96/63

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1752  +361 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Average Temperature for this month So Far: 82.0 +1.7 courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  6.59  or -4.35 or 60% of average.  Month to Date: .00  or -.03

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season,T yesterday,  2.77, +or-  -3.34 or 44% of average.  Month to date  .T or -.-00

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  , Parlier,  ,  Arvin,  , Belridge,    , Shafter,  , Stratford,  , Delano,  , Porterville,

Hours at 45 or below 45.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise: 6:25 am   Sunset: 7:36  Hours of Daylight:  13:14

 

Yesterday’s Weather

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  93 /  56 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  94 /  65 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  94 /  63 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  95 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  92 /  68 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1653 /  94 /  67 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  93 /  61 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  92 /  70 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  89 /  59 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

TOCKTON                       0.00    7.88    59    8.35    63    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    7.12    58    6.94    57    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    7.00    60       M     M    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    6.59    60       M     M    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.29    53       M     M     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    2.77    44       M     M     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    1.69    36    2.25    48     4.70     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    5.79    46    9.18    73    12.52    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    6.74    56   11.47    95    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.87    52   10.66    81    13.24    13.32