October 14, 2021
California is sandwiched between two major features. The first is a big trough of low pressure covering the interior west. The second is an equally big high center over the California coast. The jet stream is fixed between these two features, creating a northwest flow aloft over California. The air above the valley floor has warmed a great deal with the freezing level over Vandenberg AFB now pegged at 16,700 feet. The warming trend will continue through Saturday then the intermountain trough of low pressure will begin to shift into the middle of the country. A weaker trough of low pressure will follow Sunday. A few showers from this system may spread as far south as a Bay Area/Sacramento line with some increasing clouds over central California and somewhat cooler conditions. A stronger trough shows up stretching from western Canada to possibly southern California late next week. Some models show the southern portion of this feature cutting off, forming a cut off low over southern California while others just show a trough. This will deserve further study.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Wednesday.
Short Term:
Madera 75/42/80/43/83 | Reedley 77/45/80/56/83 | Dinuba 77/41/83/43/85 |
Porterville 78/41/84/45/85 | Lindsay 78/44/84/46/85 | Delano 77/45/85/48/85 |
Bakersfield 77/50/82/55/86 | Taft 76/56/83/62/85 | Arvin 79/45/84/48/85 |
Lamont 78/44/84/48/87 | Pixley 77/45/83/49/86 | Tulare 77/42/84/45/85 |
Woodlake 77/42/82/54/85 | Hanford 78/42/84/47/85 | Orosi 77/41/82/45/85 |
Seven Day Forecast:
Sunday
Mostly clear 77/41
|
Monday
Mostly clear 81/43 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 72/43 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 70/45 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 77/45 |
Two Week Outlook: October 20 through the 26: This model is still strongly suggesting a wet pattern is on hand for the western 1/3 of the US, including central California. Temperatures will be near to somewhat below average.
Winds Discussion: Winds during the later morning and afternoon hours will be generally at or less than 12 MPH and generally variable in nature through Sunday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be light with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Models this morning are not as bullish on the possibility of rain for central
California between the 20 and 26 even though they show a better than even chance of rain, especially over the northern counties.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/17% Porterville, 63%/17`%, Dew Points: Hanford, low to mid 50s. Bakersfield: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 70%. Bakersfield: Today: 80% Tomorrow: 80%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford 1.75, Parlier 1.59, Arvin 1.81, Orange Cove 1.74, Porterville 1.62, Delano 1.53. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 76, Arvin, 73, Orange Cove NA, Porterville NA, Delano 72.
Record Temperatures: 108/49. Average Temperatures: 93/65
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1704 +370 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Average Temperature for this month So Far: 78.6 +1.1 courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.59 or -4.35 or 60% of average. Month to Date: .00 or -.03
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season,T yesterday, 2.77, +or- -3.35 or 44% of average. Month to date .T or -.-00
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, , Parlier, , Arvin, , Belridge, , Shafter, , Stratford, , Delano, , Porterville,
Hours at 45 or below 45. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise: 6:37 am Sunset: 7:42 Hours of Daylight: 12:41
Yesterday’s Weather
:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 104 / 65 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 105 / 65 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 106 / 74 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 105 / 67 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 107 / 66 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 103 / 78 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 103 / 67 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 103 / 69 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr W.Y. % Last Y. % Ave. Year ave.
STOCKTON 0.00 7.88 59 8.35 62 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 7.12 58 6.94 57 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.00 60 0.00 0 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 9999 92928 0.00 0 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.59 60 0.00 0 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.29 53 0.00 0 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 2.77 44 0.00 0 6.32 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 1.69 36 2.25 47 4.74 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 5.79 46 9.18 73 12.53 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 6.74 56 11.47 95 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.88 52 10.66 80 13.26 13.32
Next report: October 15