Significant warming occurred overnight over the valley floor. For example, Sandberg at an elevation of 4,100 feet was a balmy 57 degrees at 6:00am, nine degrees warmer than yesterday at the same time. Blue Canyon was 11 degrees warmer at 8600 feet. The balloon soundings over Vandenberg and Oakland reflect this warming, as well. Oakland is reporting a freezing level of 13,600 feet while at Vandenberg, the freezing level has shot up to 14,200.
The warm descending air under strong upper level high pressure has trapped moisture on the valley floor. Most locations are reporting either ground fog or a low overcast. At last report, Porterville, Visalia, and Hanford were all down to ¼ mile visibility. Most of this moisture will mix out once the sun has had a chance to work on it a while, although it’s possible some locations in Kern County may see little to no sunshine due to upsloping.
In the broader view, upper level high pressure off the southern California coast has expanded into the Pacific Northwest. This will be our basic pattern for at least the next five days as the high will block any potential storms out over the Pacific. Models do show the high beginning to flatten out about Tuesday of next week as storminess moves back into the Pacific Northwest. Models are still showing a trough of low pressure moving through California around the 20th. It’s still unclear whether this feature will have enough energy to produce precipitation.
Forecast: Fog and/or low clouds this morning, becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy this afternoon. Widespread fog later tonight and Friday morning, lifting into a low overcast with clearing in most areas in the afternoon. Fog and/or low clouds through next Thursday with afternoon sunshine in most areas.
Short Term:
Madera 66/43/70/44/72 | Reedley 65/46/70/44/72 | Dinuba 65/43/69/44/70 |
Porterville 67/43/70/47/73 | Lindsay 66/42/70/44/72 | Delano 67/47/72/46/73 |
Bakersfield 66/52/71/54/74 | Taft 67/55/73/56/74 | Arvin 67/49/71/49/75 |
Lamont 77/49/72/49/74 | Pixley 68/44/72/44/73 | Tulare 65/43/69/45/71 |
Woodlake 65/42/70/45/71 | Hanford 68/43/72/46/72 | Orosi 64/42/69/44/71 |
Seven Day Forecast:
Sunday
AM fog/PM sun 47/70 |
Monday
AM fog/PM sun 46/73 |
Tuesday
AM fog/PM sun 47/75 |
Wednesday
AM fog/PM sun 44/70 |
Thursday
AM fog/PM sun 45/66 |
Two Week Outlook: November 18 through November 24 Models show the storm track moving further north into the Pacific Northwest, meaning central California will only have a minimal chance of precipitation during this period. Temperatures will largely be governed by fog and low clouds, but will generally be above average.
November: This model indicates November has roughly a 60% chance of above average precipitation with above average temperatures being the dominant theme. If this occurs, it will have to be during the second half of the month as current models show dry conditions through mid November.
November, December, January: Well, at least this model doesn’t show the continuance of the blocking ridge of high pressure of recent winters. It indicates an equal chance of below or above average precipitation for central California. Temperatures will remain somewhat above seasonal average.
Wind Discussion: Winds tonight through Monday will be generally variable at no more than 10 MPH with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: No chance of rain for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Obviously, the frost season is getting off to a slow start this year. Currently, I see nothing suggesting a cold pattern on the horizon.
Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/NA% Porterville, 100%/70%. Dew points: Upper Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 30%, tomorrow 60%. Bakersfield: Today: 30%/. Tomorrow,60%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days:. Stratford .58, Parlier .56, Arvin .55, Orange Cove .42, Porterville .41, Delano .46. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 63, Parlier 63, Arvin, *, Orange Cove 64, Porterville 62, Delano 57. *=data missing. 64
Average Temperatures: 67/44. Record Temperatures: 84/31
Heating Degree Days This Season. 165 -3. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, .1.57 or +.74. Monthly .30. +.03
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, .95 or +52. Month to date .01 -.14
Average Temperature this month: 59.7, +2.7. Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 5 , Parlier, 8 , Arvin, 0, Belridge, 0 ,Shafter, 0 , Stratford, 10 , Delano, 3 , Porterville, 0
Sunrise/Sunset/HOD: 6:34/4:52/10:20
NA=missing
Yesterday’s Weather:
.BR HNX 1111 Z DH08/TAIRZX/DH12/TAIRZP/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ
:
: Max Min 24-Hr Snow
: Id Name Elev Temp Temp Pcpn Depth
:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 67 / 51 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 65 / 55 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 62 / 49 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 62 / 47 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 66 / 46 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 66 / 50 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 63 / 48 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 47 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 76 / 47 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr season % L.Y. % Ave. Annual total ave
STOCKTON 0.00 4.32 400 T 0 1.08 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 3.06 369 T 0 0.83 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.99 205 0.48 49 0.97 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.65 96 0.06 9 0.68 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 1.57 189 0.11 13 0.83 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 1.24 191 0.09 14 0.65 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.95 221 0.39 91 0.43 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.78 177 T 0 0.44 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 2.19 235 0.24 26 0.93 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.58 195 0.26 32 0.81 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 1.40 163 0.24 28 0.86 13.32
Next report: November 12