January 11, 2022
Surface high pressure over northern Utah is generating an off shore flow which lowered dew points over the valley floor overnight. This allowed temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s at most locations. In fact, dew points are 4 to 7 degrees lower than 24 hours ago. Fog this morning is mainly up the center of the valley from Bakersfield to Merced. Bakersfield, Visalia, and Lemoore are each reporting a visibility of less than ¼ of a mile while Porterville has a visibility of 10 miles, Fresno 3 and Madera 4.
Looking at the big picture, upper level high pressure covers the eastern Pacific Ocean and much of the western US. A cut off low is located roughly 500 miles southwest of San Diego. The counterclockwise circulation around this feature has the winds aloft out of the east, keeping the off shore flow in the midst of things for the next few days. This will add enough mixing to the lower level of the atmosphere to keep the fog from completely taking over.
Medium range models are still showing a blocking ridge pattern. That cut off low will move inland, but if models are correct, this won’t happen for at least another week. And, when it does push inland, it won’t have enough moisture for precipitation.
Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through next Tuesday with areas of night and morning fog and low clouds each day and with hazy afternoon sunshine.
Short Term:
| Madera 60/33/61/36/59 | Reedley 62/33/63/37/61 | Dinuba 60/32/64/35/61 |
| Porterville 62/32/64/35/61 | Lindsay 62/31/64/35/61 | Delano 62/34/61/37/60 |
| Bakersfield 63/39/65/44/64 | Taft 58/45/64/50/62 | Arvin 63/34/61/38/59 |
| Lamont 63/35/61/38/59 | Pixley 61/33/61/35/60 | Tulare 59/32/61/41/59 |
| Woodlake 60/32/61/35/59 | Hanford 60/34/61/38/60 | Orosi 59/32/61/35/59 |
Seven Forecast:
| Friday
AM fog/PM sun 38/61 |
Saturday
AM fog/PM sun 38/62 |
Sunday
AM fog/PM sun 37/61 |
Monday
AM fog/PM sun 37/62 |
Tuesday
AM fog/PM sun 36/62 |
Two Week Outlook: January 17 through January 23: This model has reverted to a dry forecast with above average temperatures.
January: This model doesn’t really indicate a trend that would favor above or below precipitation. The active storm track in the Pacific Northwest will continue. Both temperatures and precipitation should be close to seasonal averages.
January, February, March: The trend of below average temperatures of late continues on the 90 day forecast which indicates temperatures will be slightly below average. Below average precipitation is anticipated over the Desert Southwest and the southern half of California with near average precipitation from Fresno County north.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Friday.
Rain: Expect dry weather for the next 7 to possibly 10 days.
Frost: Dew points are anywhere from 3 to 7 degrees lower than 24 hours ago. There is fog out there, however it is pretty shallow and there isn’t enough to slow the radiational cooling process. It was a bit of a surprise last night to see temperatures lower into the low to mid 30s at most locations. Lindcove, Exeter, and Sanger were each reporting 29 degrees as of 6:00am. There are various players out there and, with an off shore flow continuing, low to mid 30s are likely again tonight. we are right in between cloud cover over northern California and cloud cover moving into southern California, so…assuming we remaining clear during the overnight hours…expect a similar night tonight. If either of these two cloud sources move in, then milder temperatures can be expected. At any rate, there is no serious cold weather episode on the weather horizon.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
32 |
Porterville
31 |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
32 |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
32 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
32 |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
31 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
32 |
| Belridge
31 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
32 |
Orosi
31 |
| Orange Cove
Af |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
29 |
| Root Creek
30 |
Venice Hill
32 |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
32 |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
32 |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/70% Porterville, 100%/69%. Dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 60%, tomorrow 50%. Bakersfield: Today: 70%/. Tomorrow, 80%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .29, Parlier .27, Arvin .35, Orange Cove .27, Porterville .27, Delano .26. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 50, Arvin, .51, Orange Cove 50, Porterville 48, Delano 44. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 55/36. Record Temperatures: 68/18
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1139 -80 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or +1.26. Monthly .T -.73
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.55 or +1.26. Month to date .00 -.40
Average Temperature this month: 46.3, +0.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 469, Parlier, 551, Arvin, 487, Belridge, 540, Shafter, 515, Stratford, 592, Delano, 563, Porterville, 579 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 7:11, Sunset, 5:04, hours of daylight, 9:51
Yesterday’s Weather:
Id Name Elev Temp Temp Pcpn Depth
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 62 / 34 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 61 / 36 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 59 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 59 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 58 / 31 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 57 / 39 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 56 / 38 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 60 / 34 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON T 8.21 153 2.09 39 5.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 175 1.54 33 4.67 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.82 134 2.28 53 4.33 11.80
MADERA 0.00 9999259714 0.77 20 3.85 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 132 1.42 36 3.95 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.60 152 0.67 22 3.03 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.55 155 0.74 32 2.29 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 259 0.21 12 1.74 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 128 0.96 20 4.79 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.12 166 0.99 23 4.30 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.10 132 1.77 38 4.62 13.32
Next report: January 11 pm