January 23, 2022
The fog is less widespread this morning as dewpoints are anywhere from 2 to 10 degrees lower then 24 hours ago. Temperatures are off anywhere from 1 to 9 degrees. Most of the fog is up at Merced County northward into Stanislaus County. We have another 7 days or so of this stagnant pattern. Three features govern the weather over north America. The first is an arctic low located over Hudson Bay, Canada. Second is a high off the northern California coast stretching northward into western Canada. And the third is a weak upper low over Sonora, Mexico. The flow both at the surface and aloft is off shore. The current altimeter reading at Salt Lake City is 30.47 inches of mercury while the reading at LAX is 30.12. this maintains a weak Santa Ana wind configuration over southern California but does not affect the valley’s weather.
I’m still looking at the time frame from February 2 through the 5 for our next possibility of rain as the high finally breaks down, forming a trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest, sagging into northern California.
Forecast: Outside of areas of night and morning fog and low clouds and occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear and hazy through next Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 64/34/62/35/62 | Reedley 63/33/63/34/61 | Dinuba 62/32/62/33/61 |
| Porterville 65/33/64/33/62 | Lindsay 64/31/63/32/62 | Delano 65/34/65/36/62 |
| Bakersfield 65/40/64/41/62 | Taft 63/45/62/44/61 | Arvin 65/35/65/34/64 |
| Lamont 64/34/63/34/63 | Pixley 64/32/63/32/63 | Tulare 63/31/63/32/63 |
| Woodlake 63/32/62/32/61 | Hanford 64/33/62/33/61 | Orosi 63/32/63/32/62 |
Seven Forecast:
| Wednesday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 32/65 |
Thursday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 34/67 |
Friday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 35/66 |
Saturday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 37/65 |
Sunday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 37/63 |
Two Week Outlook: January 28 through February This model finally breaks down the blocking ridge of high pressure, allowing storms to return to the Pacific Northwest and northern California. This model is suggesting above average precipitation with below average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Wednesday.
Rain: It appears more and more likely we will be completely dry at most locations for the month of January. Models the past few days have been trending towards the breakdown of the high after the first of February with a chance of rain around the 3 or 4 or so. Currently, we’ll keep the forecast dry although there are some encouraging signs out there.
Frost: Dew points are anywhere from 2 to 10 degrees lower than 24 hours ago with a spattering of low 30s out there. Most locations the next few nights will range anywhere from 32 to 39. However, the usual low river bottom type locations will dip into the lower 30s. there is still absolutely nothing suggesting a particularly cold weather pattern on the horizon.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
32 |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
32 |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
32 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
32 |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root Creek
31 |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/33% Porterville, 100%/48%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 80%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 90%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .46, Parlier .37, Arvin 43, Orange Cove .36, Porterville .39, Delano .41. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 53, Parlier 52, Arvin, 53, Orange Cove 51, Porterville 51, Delano 47. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 56/38. Record Temperatures: 72/25
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1124 -113, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or +.51. Monthly .T -1.58
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.81. Month to date .01 -.85
Average Temperature this month: 48.0, +1.6 Taken 84NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 582, Parlier, 695, Arvin, 580, Belridge, 640, Shafter, 618, Stratford, 712, Delano, 685, Porterville, 706 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 7:06, Sunset, 5:16, hours of daylight, 10:08
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 59 / 34 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 61 / 34 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 63 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 62 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 61 / 33 / T /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 41 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 63 / 38 / T /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 65 / 36 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 128 2.75 43 6.41 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 143 1.63 29 5.68 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 111 2.52 48 5.29 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 0.94 20 4.66 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 109 1.55 32 4.80 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 127 0.85 23 3.63 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 129 0.91 33 2.75 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 205 0.21 10 2.20 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 105 1.19 20 5.84 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 136 0.99 18 5.40 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 110 1.90 33 5.70 13.32
Next report: January 22 PM