January 28, 2022
Strong high pressure both at the surface and aloft is now centered over the Great Basin. The surface high is unusually strong with a current altimeter reading of 30.90 at Boise, Idaho. Only rarely does the altimeter hit 31 inches of mercury. The high is shifting slowly eastward, allowing a low pressure system off the central coast to move towards southern California. As it does, variable amounts of mid and high level clouds will spread over central California through Saturday. Models are now showing pretty much a variation of what we’’ve had for the past month. A large dome of upper level high pressure will again build over the eastern Pacific, putting us under a northwest flow aloft beginning Saturday. Today should be the warmest day we’ll see for a while as synoptic cooling occurs due to that low moving through southern California. Even so, temperatures will remain above average. Even the two week model is now indicating above average temperatures with little chance of rain through the first week in February.
Forecast: Variable cloudiness at times through Saturday with patchy night and morning fog. Mostly clear Saturday night through Friday with patchy night and morning valley fog.
Short Term:
| Madera 65/34/60/33/63 | Reedley 66/34/60/34/62 | Dinuba 64/33/60/34/63 |
| Porterville 67/34/60/33/63 | Lindsay 65/32/60/33/63 | Delano 67/35/61/35/62 |
| Bakersfield 68/41/61/40/62 | Taft 67/46/62/44/61 | Arvin 68/36/62/35/63 |
| Lamont 66/35/60/34/62 | Pixley 65/32/61/33/63 | Tulare 64/32/61/33/63 |
| Woodlake 65/33/61/35/63 | Hanford 66/35/60/35/63 | Orosi 64/32/60//33/63 |
Seven Forecast:
| Monday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 33/64 |
Tuesday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 34/63 |
Wednesday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 34/63 |
Thursday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 33/61 |
Friday
Patchy fog/mostly clear 33/62 |
Two Week Outlook: February 4 through February 10: this time around, this model is reverting back to the same old thing. A large ridge of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the US, meaning the chance of rain will be very low with above average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 MPH with periods of near calm conditions through Monday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: The air mass trapped on the valley floor is simply going to stay there until a weather system strong enough mixes things out. Currently, I don’t foresee that happening short term. The bottom line is the typical low lying pieces of real estate will dip down to the 29 to 32 degree range with most other locations in the low to mid 30s. expect similar conditions each night for the next week or so. There is simply nothing on models suggesting a cold weather pattern at this time.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
31 |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
32 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
31 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
Af |
Lindcove
31 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
29 |
| Root Creek
32 |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 93%/46% Porterville, 100%/46%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .54, Parlier .44, Arvin 52, Orange Cove .45, Porterville .47, Delano .49. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 53, Parlier 50, Arvin, 52, Orange Cove 50, Porterville 49, Delano 45. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 57/38. Record Temperatures: 78/23
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1405 -119, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or +.09. Monthly .T -1.90
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.63. Month to date .01 -1.03
Average Temperature this month: 48.1, +1.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 646, Parlier, 759, Arvin, 640, Belridge, 701, Shafter, 677, Stratford, 775, Delano, 750, Porterville, 772 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 7:03, Sunset, 5:21, hours of daylight, 10:17
Yesterday’s Weather:
sCE : Merced AP 153 : 66 / 35 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / 35 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 66 / 41 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 33 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 66 / 32 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 65 / 37 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 66 / 37 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 34 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 120 4.42 65 6.82 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 134 4.23 70 6.07 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 104 4.14 73 5.64 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 4.98 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 102 2.97 58 5.12 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 120 1.46 38 3.83 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 122 1.10 38 2.93 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 192 1.29 55 2.34 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 98 3.89 62 6.26 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 126 2.58 44 5.81 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 102 3.29 54 6.11 13.32
Next report: January 28 PM