February 4, 2022
Upper level high pressure continues to be centered roughly 500 miles off the north/central California coast. Waves of low pressure continue to move over the top of the high, through the Pacific Northwest then into the eastern Great Basin. The flow aloft remains out of the north/northwest with a weak off shore surface flow. This pattern will result in a slow warming trend over the weekend and into next week. Temperatures will move into the mid to upper 60s Sunday and upper 60s to lower 70s Monday through Wednesday as the high will be virtually right overhead. There is still nothing on medium range models that would result in precipitation for California. Just variations on the blocking ridge pattern which has been so dominant in recent years,
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear skies will continue Monday night through Friday.
Short Term:
| Madera 65/31/65/32/63 | Reedley 65/30/64/31/66 | Dinuba 65/30/63/31/64 |
| Porterville 66/30/65/31/67 | Lindsay 64/29/65/31/66 | Delano 66/32/65/33/68 |
| Bakersfield 66/36/65/37/68 | Taft 64/44/63/44/67 | Arvin 66/33/64/34/69 |
| Lamont 65/34/65/35/68 | Pixley 65/31/64/32/65 | Tulare 63/28/64/31/66 |
| Woodlake 65/30/66/32/67 | Hanford 65/30/66/32/67 | Orosi 65/29/65/31/66 |
Seven Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 34/68 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 34/70 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 35/71 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 36/71 |
Friday
Mostly clear 35/72 |
Two Week Outlook: February 11 through February 17: this time around, this model is reverting back to the same old thing. A large ridge of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the US, meaning the chance of rain will be very low with above average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 MPH through Monday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Most locations chilled into the low to mid 30s last night. The cold spots, as of 6:00am were Sanger, Fowler, Lindsay, and Porterville,, all with readings of 28. Upper level high pressure will slowly shift overhead during the next several days, resulting in warmer daytime highs. This will slowly pull up those overnight temps as well. Still, with midafternoon dew points in the low to mid 30s, widespread low to mid 30s will continue with coldest frost pockets briefly dipping into the upper 20s. by Monday of next week, only the coldest low lying locations will drop to the 32 degree mark. Nothing on medium range models suggesting a particularly cold pattern on the horizon.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
30 |
Ivanhoe
29 |
Woodlake
31 |
| Strathmore
31 |
McFarland
29 |
Ducor
32 |
Tea Pot Dome
31 |
| Lindsay
29 |
Exeter
31 |
Famoso
32 |
Madera
31 |
| Belridge
29 |
Delano
32 |
North Bakersfield
31 |
Orosi
31 |
| Orange Cove
32 |
Lindcove
29 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
27 |
| Root Creek
29 |
Venice Hill
30 |
Rosedale
32 |
Jasmine
32 |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
32 |
Mettler
33 |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
30 |
Holland Creek
33 |
Tivy Valley
29 |
| Kite Road South
33 |
Kite Road North
29 |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 91%/32% Porterville, 100%/35%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 20s the lower 30s.. Kern: Mid to upper 20s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .54, Parlier .49, Arvin 67, Orange Cove .45, Porterville .44, Delano .46. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 51, Parlier 49, Arvin, 50, Orange Cove 49, Porterville 48, Delano na. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 59/39. Record Temperatures: 77/28
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1535 -107748, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -.37. Monthly ..00 -.20
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.36. Month to date .00 -.12
Average Temperature this month: 44.5, -4.2 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 720, Parlier, 867, Arvin, 728, Belridge, 800, Shafter, 778, Stratford, 879, Delano, 858, Porterville, 880. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:57, Sunset, 5:29, hours of daylight, 10:30
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 59 / 32 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 60 / 35 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 60 / 38 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 60 / 32 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 63 / M / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 33 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 60 / 37 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 63 / 34 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 110 6.43 86 7.44 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 123 5.90 89 6.64 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 95 5.62 91 6.17 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.05 19 5.46 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 93 4.82 86 5.58 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 111 3.03 73 4.14 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 111 1.72 54 3.20 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 176 1.30 51 2.55 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 89 4.47 65 6.87 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 115 5.93 93 6.40 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 93 5.90 88 6.73 13.32
Next report: February 4 PM