February 7, 2022
Upper level high pressure is centered just west of the Golden Gate this morning, putting it closer to the valley. Very strong surface high pressure is centered over the h Basin, generating an off shore flow. The freezing level is just below the 4,000 foot mark, indicating a warm bubble of subsiding air is aloft, compressing down towards the earth. This will result in unseasonably warm weather this upcoming week. High resolution models indicate many locations this afternoon will top the 70 degree mark, especially in Kern County where downslope winds will drive temperatures into the mid 70s. this whole week will be unusually warm. Some models show temperatures near the 80 degree mark over the weekend. That may be a bit overdone.
We’re finding ourselves in sort of a desert like climate due to the lack of rain the past six weeks. We have at least one more week of no rain coming up.. the GFS model shows a system trying to move through about the 18th or 19th for a chance of showers, However, that far out, we can only take it with a grain of salt.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hazy through Friday. Mostly clear and continued hazy Saturday through Monday.
Short Term:
| Madera 70/34/71/34/72 | Reedley 71/34/72/35/72 | Dinuba 69/33/70/34/71 |
| Porterville 72/33/72/34/72 | Lindsay 70/32/70/33/71 | Delano 72/35/72/35/33 |
| Bakersfield 73/42/73/43/73 | Taft 71/50/71/51/71 | Arvin 73/36/74/36/74 |
| Lamont 72/36/73/36/73 | Pixley 71.33/72/33/72 | Tulare 69/31/70/31/71 |
| Woodlake 70/33/71/34/72 | Hanford 72/33/72/34/72 | Orosi 70/33/71/34/71 |
Seven Forecast
| Thursday
Mostly clear 37/73 |
Friday
Mostly clear 38/75 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 38/76 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 38/77 |
Monday
Mostly clear 35/77 |
Two Week Outlook: February 13 through February 18: this time around, this model is reverting back to the same old thing. A large ridge of upper level high pressure will cover the eastern Pacific and the western one-third of the US, meaning the chance of rain will be very low with above average temperatures.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 MPH through Thursday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: Very strong upper level high pressure has shifted to a position just west of the Golden Gate this morning. This will push highs this afternoon past the 70 degree mark. Still, dew points are quite low,, which will allow coldest locations to dip into the low 30s. most locations will drop to between 33 and 40 degrees. With highs well into the 70s this week,, only the very coldest pieces of real estate will drop into the lower 30s. outside of that, there’s really not much to tell as well above average daytime highs will continue through at least the weekend.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
32 |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
31 |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
30 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
af |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
32 |
| Orange Cove
Af |
Lindcove
32 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root Creek
Af |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 92%/38% Porterville, 100%/44%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 20s the lower 30s.. Kern: Mid to upper 20s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .58, Parlier .52, Arvin 58, Orange Cove .48, Porterville .50, Delano .51. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 51, Parlier 49, Arvin, 50, Orange Cove 48, Porterville 48, Delano na. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 59/39. Record Temperatures: 79/24
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1585 -105, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -.57. Monthly .00 -.40
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.28. Month to date .00 -.20
Average Temperature this month: 46.3, -2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 782, Parlier, 904, Arvin, 763, Belridge, 834, Shafter, 806 Stratford, 915, Delano, 895, Porterville, 915. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:54, Sunset, 5:32, hours of daylight, 10:35
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 67 / 37 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 67 / 38 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 67 / 41 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 34 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : M / M / M /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 68 / M / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 65 / 36 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 35 / 0.00 /
CLIMATE STATION TOTAL 2022 PON 2021 PON NORMAL NORMAL
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 106 6.43 83 7.71 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 118 5.90 86 6.88 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 91 5.62 88 6.40 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.05 19 5.67 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 90 4.82 83 5.78 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 108 3.03 71 4.28 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 107 1.72 52 3.32 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 170 1.30 49 2.64 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 86 4.47 63 7.14 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 110 5.93 89 6.67 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 89 5.90 84 7.03 13.32
Next report: February 7 PM