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Forecast

February 8, 2022/report

February 8, 2022

Even though temperatures will rise into the lower 70s this afternoon, overnight lows will still chill to the freezing mark in the very coldest locations. We have a semi-desert climate out there due to lack of rain over the past six weeks. In desert regions, it’s common to have 40 to 50 degree differences between daytime highs and overnight lows. This, of course, is being brought on by a strong and persistent upper level high pressure ridge which, again this morning, is centered just to the west of the Golden Gate. Models show the high’s axis moving northward, centering off the coast of the Pacific Northwest Thursday and Friday. The flow around the high will generate a northeast flow above central California, creating downslope heating. Over the weekend, the high will drift south again, centering right over central California, driving temperatures to near record levels. Warmest locations Saturday and Sunday will push the 80 degree mark. On Monday and Tuesday, a low center over the Pacific Northwest is projected by some models to drop into California, resulting in a cooling trend and possibly even a chance of showers over the high Sierra. Medium range models going out through February 20 show a massive ridge over and off the west coast for dry weather and above average temperatures.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and hazy through Saturday. Mostly clear and continued hazy Sunday through Monday.

 

Short Term:                                                     

Madera 71/34/72/35/74 Reedley 72/35/73/36/74 Dinuba 70/32/71/34/73
Porterville 72/32/72/35/75 Lindsay 72/32/72/34/74 Delano 73/36/73/76/35
Bakersfield 73/44/75/46/76 Taft 70/50/72/52/73 Arvin 73/36/74/37/75
Lamont 72/37/73/38/75 Pixley 72/32/73/34/75 Tulare 71/32/72/34/73
Woodlake 71/33/72/35/74 Hanford 71/35/71/36/74 Orosi 71/33/73/35/74

 

Seven Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

37/75

Saturday

Mostly clear

37/76

Sunday

Mostly clear

38/77

Monday

Mostly clear

38/77

Tuesday

Mostly clear

38/73

                                                 

Two Week Outlook:  February 15  through February 21: This model continues to show a blocking ridge pattern along the west coast. Potential Pacific storms are driven far to the  north into Alaska then diving southward into the middle of the country. This will mean above average temperatures will continue with little chance of rain.

 

February:  The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.

 

February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 MPH through Friday with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Frost: Even though daytime highs will be warming into the low to mid 70s through Friday, coldest locations will still drop to near the freezing point overnight. Over the weekend,  models show the axis of the high just about right overhead, driving highs into the mid to upper 70s with  the warmest locations near 80. All locations this weekend and beyond will finally be above 32.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

32

Ivanhoe

32

Woodlake

Af

Strathmore

Af

McFarland

32

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

Af

Lindsay

31

Exeter

Af

Famoso

Af

Madera

af

Belridge

32

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

Af

Orosi

Af

Orange Cove

Af

Lindcove

32

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

30

Root Creek

Af

Venice Hill

Af

Rosedale

Af

Jasmine

Af

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

Af

Mettler

Af

Edison

Af

Maricopa

Af

Holland Creek

Af

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

Af

Kite Road North

Af

AF=Above Freezing

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 92%/28%  Porterville, 100%/34%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Upper 20s the lower 30s..  Kern: Mid to upper 20s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .63, Parlier .55, Arvin 61, Orange Cove .52, Porterville .56, Delano .58. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 50, Parlier 49, Arvin, 50, Orange Cove 48, Porterville 49, Delano na. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 60/39.  Record Temperatures: 79/24

Heating Degree Days This Season.  1598 -108, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.21 or -.64.  Monthly  .00 -.47

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 3.56 or  +.20. Month to date  .00 -.28

Average Temperature this month: 46.3, -2.5 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 792, Parlier, 914,  Arvin, 772, Belridge, 842, Shafter, 814 Stratford, 926, Delano, 905, Porterville, 926.  courtesy UC Davis  

Sunrise. 6:53, Sunset, 5:33, hours of daylight, 10:37

Yesterday’s weather

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  69 /  37 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  70 /  34 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  72 /  41 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  72 /  37 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  72 /   M /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  75 /  45 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  72 /  37 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  74 /  37 /  0.00 /

IYK   : Inyokern AP     2455 :  69 /  34 /  0.00 /

MHV   : Mojave AP       2785 :  64 /  37 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.21   105    6.43    82     7.80    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.15   117    5.90    85     6.96    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    5.85    90    5.62    87     6.47    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M    1.05    18     5.73    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.21    89    4.82    82     5.85    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    4.61   107    3.03    70     4.32     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    3.56   106    1.72    51     3.36     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.50   169    1.30    49     2.67     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.11    85    4.47    62     7.23    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    7.34   109    5.93    88     6.75    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.26    88    5.90    83     7.13    13.32:

Next report: February 8 PM