February 13, 2022
This will be the last day of unusually warm weather for central California as warmest locations will again top the 80 degree mark this afternoon, especially over the Kern County portion of the valley. Already this morning, the high is beginning to break down over the Pacific Northwest in response to a rather compact low moving out of the Gulf of Alaska. This morning’s models give little hope of any rain on the valley floor Tuesday. What little dynamics this system has will move mainly into Nevada. The high Sierra will observe light snow showers Tuesday along with cooer and breezy weather on the valley floor. It’s hard to believe we’ll be going from yesterday’s mid-80s in Bakersfield to local frost on the ground Wednesday morning. The low itself will move into the Desert Southwest by Wednesday morning, ending any chance of rain for the remainder of next week and more than likely beyond. Medium range models show a large high right along the Pacific coast Wednesday through Sunday of next week. However, longer range models indicate a cold trough of low pressure along jthe west coast beginning the 20th with possibly a prolonged period of below average temperatures. This makes sense as weather equalizes itself.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Monday. Partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday with a slight chance of showers Tuesday, mainly near the Sierra Nevada foothills. Turning breezy and much cooler Tuesday. Partly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Mostly clear Wednesday afternoon through Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 78/39/75/40.59 | Reedley 80/41/76/41/62 | Dinuba 79/38/75/41/60 |
| Porterville 80/40/76/42/59 | Lindsay 79/40/75/41/59 | Delano 81/42/77/42/58 |
| Bakersfield 81/52/78/45/58 | Taft 79/55/76/48/55 | Arvin 82/45/76/46/61 |
| Lamont 81/44/75/42/58 | Pixley 80/42/76/42/59 | Tulare 78/40/76/41/58 |
| Woodlake 79/42/76/42/61 | Hanford 81/42/75/42/61 | Orosi 79/40/76/41/59 |
Seven Forecast
| Wednesday
Partly cloudy 34/59 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 34/65 |
Friday
Mostly clear 36/70 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 36/71 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 38/72 |
Two Week Outlook: February 18 through February 24 This model looks completely different than in the recent past. A cold trough of low pressure will be along the west coast for below average temperatures and at least a chance at unsettled weather.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be at or less than 6 MPH through Monday morning. Winds will be out of the southeast Monday afternoon at 5 to 12 MPH. winds Monday night and Tuesday will be out of the west to northwest at 10 to 20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH possible, mainly along the west side but locally elsewhere. Winds will decrease later Tuesday night with light winds returning Wednesday and Thursday.
Rain: The chance of measurable rain Tuesday is very low. Greatest risk will be along the Sierra Nevada foothills. The chance for measurable rain at any given location is no more than 10 to 20 percent. expect dry weather Tuesday night and for the remainder of next week.
Frost: All locations will be above 32 degrees through Tuesday morning. The mostly dry storm moving through central California Tuesday will have a cold pool of air associated with it which will settle to the valley floor. The potential of this air mass will be widespread low to mid 30s Wednesday morning through Friday morning. Upper 20s will be possible, mainly in dry low spots. Moderation will begin to take place next weekend as upper level high pressure builds overhead.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 100%/30% Porterville, 100%/%/34%. Midafternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .70, Parlier .67, Arvin 78, Orange Cove .65, Porterville .68, Delano .69. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 51, Parlier 51, Arvin, 52, Orange Cove 50, Porterville 51, Delano 47. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 61/40. Record Temperatures: 79/24
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1641 -140, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.21 or -.97. Monthly .00 -.80
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.56 or +.00. Month to date .00 -.48
Average Temperature this month: 50.8, -+1.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 820, Parlier, 951, Arvin, 804, Belridge, 870, Shafter, 830 Stratford, 958, Delano, 839, Porterville, 964. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:48, Sunset, 5:38, hours of daylight, 10:49
Yesterday’s weather
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 76 / 44 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 81 / 42 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 82 / 48 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 81 / 41 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 82 / 41 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 85 / 49 / 0.00 /
NID : China Lake NAWS 2283 : 77 / 36 / 0.00 /
EDW : Edwards AFB 2302 : 76 / 32 / 0.00 /
:
.END
:
: Unofficial Weather Stations
:
: Approximate high temperature yesterday
: Approximate low temperature from midnight through 4 am PST/5 am PDT
: 24-hour precipitation ending at 4 am PST/5 am PDT
:
: Max Min 24-Hr Snow
: Id Name Elev Temp Temp Pcpn Depth
:
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 81 / 45 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 83 / 44 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 76 / 39 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 73 / 43 / 0.00 /
Rainfall
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 100 6.86 83 8.24 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.15 111 6.35 86 7.35 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.85 86 5.90 86 6.83 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 6.06 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 5.21 84 5.09 82 6.18 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.61 101 3.05 67 4.57 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.56 100 1.80 51 3.56 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 160 1.61 57 2.82 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.11 80 4.64 61 7.64 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.34 102 5.96 83 7.17 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.26 82 6.08 80 7.63 13.32
Next report: February 14