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Forecast

February 24, 2022/afternoon report

February 24, 2023

Temperatures at midday are generally in the low to mid 50s, which is 2 to 8 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. That may seem to be good news, however it’s more than counterbalanced by the fact dew points are 5 to 10 degrees lower than yesterday at this time and are only in the mid to upper 20s. Satellite imagery shows there’s not a cloud to be found, so the combination of dry air on the valley floor, clear skies, and near calm winds will lead to another very cold night. Coldest locations will dip into the mid 20s. More below in the frost discussion.

 

Weak upper level high pressure continues to build in from the Pacific Ocean. The storm track will move into the Pacific Northwest for at least the next week or so as weak weather systems ride over the top of the high and into western Washington and Oregon from time to time. There are models for roughly March 6 showing another pattern similar to the one we’re currently enduring. A strong ridge builds over the eastern Pacific, reaching all the way into northwest Canada as an arctic trough develops over the interior west. For now, it’s just something to be aware of as the 6th of March in the world of weather is a long way off and much will  no doubt change between now and then.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Saturday night. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday through Thursday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 27/60/29/65 Reedley 26/59/28/66 Dinuba 25/59/29/65
Porterville 27/61/29/66 Lindsay 25/60/29/65 Delano 28/61/30/67
Bakersfield 33/59/34/67 Taft 35/56/38/64 Arvin 28/61/31/67
Lamont 29/62/31/67 Pixley 27/60/30/65 Tulare 25/59/29/64
Woodlake 26/60/29/65 Hanford 27/60/30/66 Orosi 26/60/30/65

 

Wind Discussion: Winds this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side, diminishing this evening and becoming light to calm after midnight. Winds Thursday through Saturday will be generally at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Expect dry conditions for the next 7 days and possibly longer.

 

Frost: Temperatures at midday are 2 to 8 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. However, the air mass on the valley floor is considerably drier as dew points are 5 to 10 degrees lower than yesterday, generally running in the mid to upper 20s. With a star filled sky, little or no wind…the radiational cooling process will be strong tonight, lowering temperatures into the mid 20s mainly in those low river bottom type of locations.

 

Coldest locations could drop down to 24 to 25 degrees with most flat terrain generally ranging from 26 to 30. Hillsides will be in the low to mid 30s. durations at or below 32 won’t be quite as long since highs today were milder, generally ranging from 7 to 9 hours. Temperatures at the very coldest locations will drop at or below 28 degrees for 1 to 3 hours.  The inversion tonight will be a good deal better with temperatures at 34 feet from 5 to 8 degrees higher. Expect temperatures Saturday morning to run 2 to 4 degrees milder as the moderation process continues and lows slowly move up. Most locations Sunday morning will be in the low to mid 30s with above freezing conditions Monday morning.

 

I noticed a couple of models for the period the 8th through the 11th of March are showing a pattern similar to the one we just went through. I realize that’s still a long way off, and as always we’ll monitor the situation.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

28

Porterville

27

Ivanhoe

26

Woodlake

28

Strathmore

28

McFarland

37

Ducor

29

Tea Pot Dome

28

Lindsay

26

Exeter

27

Famoso

29

Madera

28

Belridge

27

Delano

28

North Bakersfield

29

Orosi

28

Orange Cove

29

Lindcove

28

Lindcove Hillside

34

Sanger River Bottom

26

Root Creek

28

Venice Hill

29

Rosedale

29

Jasmine

28

Arvin

30

Lamont

30

Plainview

28

Mettler

28

Edison

31

Maricopa

29

Holland Creek

31

Tivy Valley

28

Kite Road South

31

Kite Road North

28

AF=Above Freezing

 

Next report: February 25