February 24, 2022
As expected, lows last night dipped into the mid-20s at the very coldest locations. Most locations, however, were 1 or 2 degrees warmer than projected. More in the frost discussion below. The cold arctic low has now moved into Colorado. The air aloft above central California is slowly moderating. The balloon sounding above Oakland a short time ago indicated a freezing level of 4,400 feet which is roughly 2,000 feet higher than 24 hours ago. Weak upper level high pressure is beginning to build in from the west. That will be reflected in a slow warming trend, especially with afternoon highs. Overnight lows, however, will be sub-freezing as a relatively dry air mass is now in place. A weak trough of low pressure will move through the Pacific Northwest and northern California Sunday, spreading some mid and high level clouds above us, but any precipitation will remain well to our north. Models show the storm track remaining well to our north for at least the next week with no chance of precipitation. Models after the sixth of March are inconclusive, but none shows a chance of precipitation this far south.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Saturday night with cold nights. Partly cloudy Sunday and Sunday night. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Monday through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 56/27/61/29/65 | Reedley 57/28/60/29/66 | Dinuba 55/26/59/28/65 |
| Porterville 57/27/61/29/66 | Lindsay 56/27/61/29/66 | Delano 57/29/61/30/67 |
| Bakersfield 56/32/59/35/67 | Taft 55/35/56/40/63 | Arvin 56/29/61/32/66 |
| Lamont 56/29/60/32/65 | Pixley 57/28/60/29/65 | Tulare 55/26/59/28/64 |
| Woodlake 57/27/61/29/65 | Hanford 56/28/61/29/65 | Orosi 56/26/59/28/65 |
Seven Forecast
| Sunday
Partly cloudy 32/65 |
Monday
Mostly clear 34/68 |
Tuesday
Partly cloudy 38/69 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 42/74 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 41/75 |
Two Week Outlook: March 3 through March 9: This model is indicating a trough of low pressure may be stretching from the Gulf of Alaska into the western US. The signature for rain, however, is small with temperatures returning to below average.
February: The guidance on this model does not show any particular pattern that would favor temperatures or precipitation. Basically, what it’s saying is there’s equal chances of above or below average rain as well as above or below average temperatures. Flip a coin.
February, March, April: There are no dominant trends on this model favoring above or below average precipitation. Temperatures during this period should be fairly close to seasonal values.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions, mainly during the night and morning hours, through Sunday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 7 days.
Frost: As of 6:00am, Sanger had chilled down to 26, Exeter, Lindsay, Fowler, and Clovis were at 27 degrees. This would put those wind sheltered, low lying areas down to 24 to 25. Even so, most locations came in 1 to 2 degrees warmer than yesterday afternoon’s projections. With dew points This afternoon expected to be in the mid to upper 20s, along with clear skies and calm winds, coldest low spots tonight will again dip into the mid 20s with those traditionally cold spots chilling down to 24 to 25. Most flatland locations will range from 26 to 30 with hillsides in the low to mid 30s.
Durations at or below 32 will be around 7 to 9 hours and at or below 28 in the coldest spots at 2 to 3 hours.
The inversion tonight will be better with temperatures at 34 feet from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations.
Temperatures Saturday morning will be 2 to 5 degrees milder with coldest location in the low to mid 20s with most locations in the low to mid 30s.
Widespread low to mid 30s can be expected Sunday morning with isolated upper 20s. All locations will be above freezing Monday morning and beyond.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
28 |
Porterville
27 |
Ivanhoe
26 |
Woodlake
28 |
| Strathmore
28 |
McFarland
37 |
Ducor
29 |
Tea Pot Dome
28 |
| Lindsay
26 |
Exeter
27 |
Famoso
29 |
Madera
28 |
| Belridge
27 |
Delano
28 |
North bakersfield
29 |
Orosi
28 |
| Orange Cove
29 |
Lindcove
28 |
Lindcove Hillside
34 |
Sanger River Bottom
26 |
| Root Creek
28 |
Venice Hill
29 |
Rosedale
29 |
Jasmine
28 |
| Arvin
30 |
Lamont
30 |
Plainview
28 |
Mettler
28 |
| Edison
31 |
Maricopa
29 |
Holland Creek
31 |
Tivy Valley
28 |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
28 |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 95%/68% Porterville, 99%/80%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 20s. Kern: Mid to upper 20s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 50%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .76, Parlier .64, Arvin .70, Orange Cove .64, Porterville .59, Delano .65. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 52, Arvin, 54, Orange Cove 52, Porterville 53, Delano 47. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 64/42. Record Temperatures: 79/30
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1794 -133, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.25 or -1.72. Monthly .00 -1.55
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 3.67 or -.37. Monthly, .00 -.85
Average Temperature this month: 50.8-+0.4 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 900, Parlier, 1052, Arvin, 872, Belridge, 937, Shafter, 877 Stratford, 1046, Delano, 1037, Porterville, 1075. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:35, Sunset, 5:49, hours of daylight, 11:13
Yesterday’s weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 56 / 29 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 54 / 27 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 53 / 34 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 53 / 30 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 56 / 25 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 53 / 37 / T /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 52 / 30 / T /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 52 / 30 / T /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 8.21 89 6.86 74 9.26 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.16 99 6.38 77 8.25 12.27
MERCED 0.00 5.87 76 5.92 76 7.76 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.19 17 6.90 10.79
FRESNO T 5.25 75 5.11 73 6.97 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 4.78 92 3.05 59 5.18 8.13
BAKERSFIELD T 3.67 91 1.81 45 4.04 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.50 141 1.61 50 3.19 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 6.18 72 4.73 55 8.61 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 7.37 90 5.96 73 8.17 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 6.33 72 6.08 69 8.79 13.32
Next report: February 24 PM