Updates
  • Out/pneumonia Pardon the interruption again, folks. John had been coughing more and more frequently lately. Difficult breathing yesterday resulted in an ambulance ride to the local…
  • May 8, 2024 report May 8, 2024 Summary  High pressure aloft is  located 500 miles off the northern California coast. Low pressure is centered over Wyoming and the Dakotas…
  • May 6, 2024 report May 6, 2024 Summary  An elongated trough of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest while high pressure is setting…
  • May 4, 2024 report May 4, 2024 Summary  A low pressure center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest this morning. This low will move southwestward into northern…
  • May 2, 2024 report May 2, 2024 Summary  upper level high pressure is upwelling ahead of a low pressure system located in the northeast Pacific. This will drive temperatures…
Forecast

March 7, 2022/report

March 7, 2022

California is sandwiched between a ridge of upper level high pressure off the California coast and a cold trough of low pressure covering the Rocky Mountain region and the desert southwest. This has generated a north/south flow over California. Even so, as the off shore high shifts a bit further east over the next 48 hours, temperatures will begin to warm, especially daytime highs. Dew points will remain in the low to mid 30s, allowing chilly overnight temperatures with local frost. The air aloft is definitely warming. The freezing level taken a short time ago over Oakland was 8,300 feet, which is a far cry from the 4,500 foot level yesterday.

 

The off shore high will slowly shift eastward through Saturday, allowing temperatures to rise into the lower 70s by Saturday and Sunday. The top portion of the high will break down Sunday night and Monday, allowing a series of storms to move into the Pacific Northwest and at least northern California. The GFS model shows rain spreading all the way into Kern County about Tuesday with possibly a second system later next week. This is by no means a trend showing up on models. Hopefully it will become one as the week progresses.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday night. Mostly clear Thursday night through Sunday. Partly cloudy Sunday night and Monday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 65/32/68/35/69 Reedley 66/33/69/37/70 Dinuba 65/31/68/36/70
Porterville 66/32/69/35/70 Lindsay 65/31/68/35/69 Delano 66/34/69/36/71
Bakersfield 65/39/65/42/68 Taft 63/45/66/47/68 Arvin 66/36/70/37/71
Lamont 65/35/69/39/70 Pixley 64/33/67/37/68 Tulare  64/32/67/35/68
Woodlake 65/33/67/37/69 Hanford 66/33/68/37/69 Orosi 64/31/69/36/69

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

36/70

Friday

Mostly clear

34/68

Saturday

Mostly clear

36/70

Sunday

Partly cloudy

38/72

Monday

Partly cloudy

39/72

                                     

Two Week Outlook:  March 16 through March 23  Upper level high pressure will build into the western ¼ of the US, resulting in a period of dry weather with temperatures rising to above average.

 

March:  The 30 day outlook for the month of March really does not show much guidance for either precipitation or temperatures. Essentially what it says is near average temperatures with near average precipitation.

 

March, April, May: The March, April, May period moves us into the traditional beginning of the dry season. This model is showing below average precipitation for most of the state. Guidance is fairly flat as far as temperatures are concerned as it indicates near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds through Thursday will be generally out of the northwest afternoons and early evenings 5 to 10 mph. during the night and  morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain:  Dry weather will continue through at least Sunday night. There is a possibility of rain Monday through Wednesday of next week. This is in no means in concrete, however. The GFS model shows rain spreading all the way south into Kern County. Other models show the system remaining north of us. Since no real trend has developed, we’ll go with a dry forecast and study the system.

 

Frost:  Tonight will be very similar to last night with widespread low to mid 30s. As of 6:00am, the coldest readings I could find were down near 30 with most locations between 32 and 36. With anticipated dew points in the low to mid 30s, overnight lows tonight will generally range from near 29 at those frost pockets to 31 to 37 elsewhere. Hillsides will remain above freezing. Look for 1 tto 3 degrees of modification for Tuesday night. For Wednesday night and beyond, temperatures will be generally  in the mid 30s to near 40. Longer term, nothing is showing up on models that would result in below freezing temperatures.

 

Lows Tonight:

Terra Bella

Af

Porterville

32

Ivanhoe

30

Woodlake

Af

Strathmore

Af

McFarland

31

Ducor

Af

Tea Pot Dome

32

Lindsay

30

Exeter

31

Famoso

Af

Madera

32

Belridge

31

Delano

Af

North Bakersfield

Af

Orosi

32

Orange Cove

Af

Lindcove

32

Lindcove Hillside

Af

Sanger River Bottom

29

Root creek

31

Venice Hill

Af

Rosedale

Af

Jasmine

Af

Arvin

Af

Lamont

Af

Plainview

32

Mettler

Af

Edison

Af

Maricopa

32

Holland Creek

32

Tivy Valley

Af

Kite Road South

32

Kite Road North

af

AF=Above Freezing

Actual Humidity range Yesterday: Delano, 96%/69%  Porterville, 97%/47%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 30s.  Kern: Low to mid 30s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 100%.

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford .95, Parlier .70, Arvin .83, Orange Cove .68, Porterville .71, Delano .77. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 52, Parlier 56, Arvin, 55, Orange Cove 54, Porterville 54, Delano 51. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 66/43.  Record Temperatures: 84/30

Heating Degree Days This Season.  1945 -103, Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.43 or -2.26.  Monthly  .11 -.20

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 4.35 or  -.15. Monthly,  .68 +.44

Average Temperature this month: 53.2 -1.3Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129,  Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157.  courtesy UC Davis  

Sunrise. 6:20, Sunset, 6:00, hours of daylight, 11:37

Yesterday’s weather:

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  64 /  36 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  62 /  33 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  60 /  46 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  60 /  38 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  62 /  34 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  60 /  40 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  59 /  42 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  60 /  35 /  0.00 /

m

Rainfall:                                      24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.21    81    6.92    69    10.09    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.17    91    6.38    71     9.02    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    5.88    69    5.92    69     8.53    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M    1.19    15     7.68    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.43    71    5.11    66     7.69    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    5.29    92    3.05    53     5.74     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    4.35    97    1.81    40     4.50     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.50   129    1.61    46     3.49     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.26    66    4.78    50     9.49    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    7.37    80    5.98    65     9.16    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    6.35    64    6.08    62     9.85    13.32

Next report: March 7 PM

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.