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Forecast

April 4, 2022/report

April 4, 2022

California is flanked on the far eastern side of upper level high pressure off shore. The freezing level this morning stands at 10,400 feet and will slowly rise this week as the off shore  high builds into the western US. By Wednesday and Thursday, a big ridge will build northward into the Pacific Northwest and western  Canada,  strengthening the high over California. In fact, record high temperatures show up on models for Thursday through Saturday. Typically during spring months, when one extreme occurs, the opposite will follow. Longer range models show a deep trough digging southward over the western US between the 10th  and 15th with temperatures falling back to below average. The new two week model shows a chance of showers during this time frame.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday will occasional high clouds. Mostly clear and hot Friday through Saturday. Mostly clear with a cooling trend Sunday through Monday.

 

Short Term:        

Madera 77/47/78/48/85 Reedley 78/47/78/49/85 Dinuba 76/46/77/49/84
Porterville 78/47/79/49/85 Lindsay 77/48/78/48/86 Delano 77/50/79/51/86
Bakersfield 76/52/77/53/85 Taft 73/55/74/56/82 Arvin 78/50/79/53/86
Lamont 78/51/79/52/86 Pixley 77/47/78/49/86 Tulare 76/48/78/49/85
Woodlake 77/46/78/48/84 Hanford 79/51/79/52/85 Orosi 77/47/79/49/86

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

52/92

Friday

Mostly clear

55/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

56/96

Sunday

Mostly clear

51/90

Monday

Mostly clear

43/87

 

                               

Two Week Outlook:  April 11 through April 17: This model is indicating the deepening of what may be a persistent trough of low pressure over and off the west coast. This will result in a chance of showers along with below average temperatures.

 

April:  April is a transition month as we move from springtime weather to early summer weather at the end of the month. This model indicates above average temperatures over the southern half of the Golden State with near average temperatures over northern and central California. Precipitation will range below average.

 

April, May, June: This model shows above average temperatures over the Desert Southwest, stretching westward to California. With high pressure generally in control, expect below average precipitation…which doesn’t mean much now that we’re headed into the dry season.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds today will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts this afternoon and evening. Winds Tuesday through Thursday will be generally at or less than 6 mph nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph.

 

Rain:  Expect dry weather for the next week. models for after the 11th show a deepening trough of low pressure along the west coast. It’s too early to add rain to the forecast, however that may change over the next few days.

 

Frost:  Expect above freezing temperatures indefinitely.

Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 93%/42%  Porterville, 99%/42%.  Midafternoon dew points:  Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 90%.  Bakersfield: Today: 80%/. Tomorrow, 90%.

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.16, Parlier 1.04, Arvin 1.05, Orange Cove .99, Porterville .92, Delano 1.01. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 58, Parlier 63, Arvin, 62, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 67, Delano 61. *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 71/46.  Record Temperatures: 88/33

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  24 +18. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno,  5.99 or -3.38.  Monthly  .00 -.16

Precipitation for Bakersfield,  Season, 5.01 or  -.49.  Monthly,  -.09

Average Temperature this month: 64.5 +5.5  Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129,  Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157.  courtesy UC Davis  

Sunrise. 6:39, Sunset, 7:25, hours of daylight, 12:44

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  84 /  44 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  84 /  40 /  0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  83 /  52 /  0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  82 /  53 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  85 /  50 /  0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  80 /  53 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  79 /  46 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  80 /  41 /  0.00 /

 

Rainfall:                                      24h            Seas            %          LY              %             Ave             365

STOCKTON                      0.00    9.04    77    7.84    67    11.74    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00    8.76    83    7.12    68    10.54    12.27

MERCED                        0.00    6.69    66    6.97    69    10.11    11.80

MADERA                        0.00       M     M       M     M     9.36    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    5.99    64    6.44    69     9.37    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    5.80    83    4.13    59     7.03     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.01    91    2.58    47     5.50     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.75   121    1.62    41     3.94     4.84

SALINAS                       0.00    6.87    61    5.70    51    11.25    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00    8.48    76    6.73    60    11.18    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00    7.40    62    6.86    57    12.03    13.32

Next report: April 5

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.